Ricky Simon vs Vinicius Oliveira Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

Ricky Simon vs Vinicius Oliveira

UFC 303

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 29, 2024

Ricky Simon will enter the Octagon against Vinicius Oliveira at UFC 303 on Saturday, June 29, 2024. The moneyline has Simon coming in at -218 while Oliveira is coming in at +180.

Ricky Simon has a career mark of 20-5-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Vinicius "LokDog" Oliveira stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-3-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 70". When talking about significant strikes, Ricky Simon is connecting on 3.01 per min while Vinicius Oliveira lands 5.42 significant strikes per minute. Simon connects on 43% of the significant strikes he tries and Oliveira is connecting on 47%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Simon allows 3.61 significant strikes per min while "LokDog" takes 2.94. Simon also defends against 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Oliveira defends against 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Ricky Simon is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents down 5.49 times per 15 minutes. Simon is scoring a takedown on 46% of his attempts and stuffing 76% of all takedown attempts. Oliveira is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 40% of the tries against him. When it comes to submissions, Simon is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Oliveira tries 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Ricky Simon faced Mario Bautista and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Bautista landed 118 of 276 total strikes attempted in that contest. Simon ended the night having landed 52 of 115 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Bautista ended up landing 112 of 270, which gave him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 76 of 219 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Simon ended up landing 41% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 45 of 108. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 33 of 95 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Bautista and 97% of them landed by Simon were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Vinicius Oliveira, he squared up with Benardo Sopaj and wound up taking home the victory via a flying knee to the head in round 3. Sopaj ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Oliveira ended up connecting on 73% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Oliveira landed 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 67 of 144. He landed 39 of 91 significant strikes to the head. Sopaj ended up connecting on 45 of 86 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 42 of 81 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Sopaj connected on 92 of 146 and Oliveira landed 88 of 170 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Mayra Bueno Silva battles Macy Chiasson. Bueno Silva steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-3-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Chiasson stands 5'11" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 32-year-old stretches 72". In the grappling category, Mayra Bueno Silva takes her opponents to the mat 0.68 times per 15 minutes while Macy Chiasson is able to score a takedown 2.38 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Bueno Silva is landing 3.84 strikes/minute and connects on 57% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Macy Chiasson, who is landing 44% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 3.53 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Gillian Robertson is set to encounter Michelle Waterson-Gomez. Waterson-Gomez steps into the cage holding a mark of 18-12-0. The 38-year-old weighs 115 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Robertson stands 5'5" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 13-8-0. The 29-year-old reaches 63". In terms of wrestling, Michelle Waterson-Gomez is preventing 70% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 32% of her tries. Robertson is taking her opponents to the mat on 43% of the attempts she tries and is able to stop 43% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Waterson-Gomez is taking 4.19 strikes per minute and she lands 3.56 per min. Robertson, notwithstanding, absorbs 3.12 strikes/min and deals 2.61 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ricky Simon (-218)

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