Ateba Gautier vs Robert Valentin Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds
Ateba Gautier vs Robert Valentin
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Ateba Gautier will enter the Octagon with Robert Valentin at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The odds have Gautier priced at -530 while Valentin is coming in at +404.
Ateba "The Silent Assassin" Gautier comes into this fight holding a mark of 7-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The switch fighter has an arm span of 81". Robert "Robzilla" Valentin comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-5-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 77". Regarding significant strikes, Ateba Gautier lands 6.06 per minute and Robert Valentin connects on 1.10 significant strikes per minute. Gautier is connecting on 64% of the significant strikes he tries while Valentin is connecting on 58%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Silent Assassin" absorbs 2.23 significant strikes per min while "Robzilla" allows 2.11. Gautier also curbs 51% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Valentin is able to curb 23% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC 318 | Ateba Gautier | Robert Valentin |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -530 | +404 |
Record | 7-1-0 | 11-5-0 (1 NC) |
Average Fight Time | 6:16 | 10:55 |
Height | 6'4" | 6'2" |
Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
Reach | 81" | 77" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.06 | 1.10 |
Striking Accuracy | 64% | 58% |
Regarding wrestling, Ateba Gautier is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Gautier is scoring a takedown on 10% of his attempts and is defending 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. Valentin is taking his opponents down on 10% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 55% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Gautier is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 submissions per 15 min while Valentin attempts 1.4 submissions per 3 rds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Ateba Gautier squared up with Jose Daniel Medina and wound up taking home the win by a knee to the head in round 1. Medina landed 17 of 33 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Gautier walked away from this fight having landed 28 of 50 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Medina ended up landing 17 of 33, which means his percentage was 51%. He finished the fight landing 6 of 21 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Gautier ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes by landing 28 of 50. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 24 of 43 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Medina and 92% of them connected on by Gautier were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Robert Valentin, he squared up with Torrez Finney and wound up taking the loss by way of split decision in round 3. Finney landed 25% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Valentin landed 21% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Valentin connected on 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 23 of 39. He ended up connecting on 18 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. Finney landed 4 of 8 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 5 to the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Finney landed 17 of 35 while Valentin ended up landing 93 of 126 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Adam Fugitt meets Islam Dulatov. Fugitt steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-4-0. The 36-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 77". Dulatov comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In the grappling category, Adam Fugitt takes his opponents to the mat 2.04 times per 15 minutes while Islam Dulatov gets a takedown 5.49 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Fugitt connects for an average of 4.72 strikes per min and is connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Islam Dulatov, who tags his opponent on 56% of his attempted strikes and connects on 14.27 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Marcin Prachnio is set to go up against Jimmy Crute. Crute will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-4-2. The 29-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Prachnio comes in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 17-8-0. The 37-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to takedowns, Jimmy Crute is able to defend against 58% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 52% of the times he tries. Prachnio is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his tries and is able to thwart 53% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Crute is absorbing 3.63 strikes per minute and he dishes out 4.37 strikes/minute. Prachnio, in contrast, is taking 3.24 strikes/minute and is landing 5.57 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ateba Gautier (-530)
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