Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano Pick, 06/28/2025 Predictions UFC 317 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/25/2025

Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano

UFC 317

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 28, 2025

Beneil Dariush will battle Renato Moicano at UFC 317 on Saturday, June 28, 2025. The opening line has Dariush at +136 while Moicano is at -162.

Beneil Dariush comes into this bout holding a record of 22-6-1. The 36-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 72". Renato Moicano measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 20-6-1. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 72". In the category of significant strikes, Beneil Dariush is connecting on 3.78 per min and Renato Moicano lands 4.36 significant strikes per min. Dariush is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Moicano is connecting on 48%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Dariush takes 2.65 significant strikes per minute while Moicano allows 3.55. Dariush also defends against 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Moicano is able to deflect 60% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Beneil Dariush ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 317	Beneil Dariush	Renato Moicano
Opening Odds	+136	-162
Record	22-6-1	20-6-1
Average Fight Time	8:54	9:09
Height	5'10"	5'11"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.78	4.36
Striking Accuracy	48%	48%

Concerning grappling, Beneil Dariush is the more apt wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.90 times per 3 rounds. Dariush is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of the times he tries and is stopping 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Moicano is taking his opponents down on 44% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Dariush is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes while Moicano tries 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Beneil Dariush went up against Arman Tsarukyan and wound up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Tsarukyan ended up landing 8 of 15 total strikes attempted in that fight. Dariush finished this fight landing 2 of 8 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Tsarukyan ended up landing 8 of 15, which gave him a percentage of 53%. He landed 8 of 15 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Dariush ended up landing 25% of his significant strikes by landing 2 of 8. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 0 of 5 pointed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Tsarukyan and 100% of them landed by Dariush were done at distance.

In the last bout for Renato Moicano, he went up against Islam Makhachev and ended up taking the loss by d'arce choke in round 1. Makhachev connected on 83% of his significant strikes at distance while Moicano ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Moicano landed 33% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 9 of 27. He landed 2 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. Makhachev connected on 6 of 19 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 5 of 17 to the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Makhachev landed 18 of 31 while Moicano connected on 18 of 37 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Payton Talbott squares up against Felipe Lima. Talbott walks into the cage with a mark of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Lima stands in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-1-0. The 27-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to grappling, Payton Talbott scores a takedown 0.32 times per 3 rds and Felipe Lima scores a takedown 1.71 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Talbott tags his opponents 6.73 strikes per min and is connecting on 55% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Felipe Lima, who connects on 45% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 3.50 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Gregory Rodrigues is set to square up in the Octagon against Jack Hermansson. Hermansson looks to add a victory to his record of 24-8-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Rodrigues measures 6'3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 75". When it comes to takedowns, Jack Hermansson thwarts 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his tries. Rodrigues is taking his opponents to the mat on 38% of his attempts and defends against 88% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Hermansson is absorbing 3.69 strikes/minute while he lands 5.09 strikes per minute. Rodrigues, on the other side, absorbs 4.95 strikes/minute and dishes out 5.60 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Renato Moicano (-162)

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Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano Pick, 06/28/2025 Predictions UFC 317 Odds

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