Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov Pick, 07/26/2025 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, July 26, 2025

Bryce Mitchell will enter the Octagon with Said Nurmagomedov at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 26, 2025. The opener has Mitchell at -115 while Nurmagomedov is coming in at -105.

Nikita "The Miner" Krylov steps into the Octagon with a mark of 17-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Bogdan "Czarevitch" Guskov measures in at 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 18-4-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When talking about significant strikes, Bryce Mitchell is connecting on 2.44 per minute while Said Nurmagomedov connects on 3.38 significant strikes per min. Mitchell is landing 59% of the significant strikes he tries while Nurmagomedov lands 47%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Thug Nasty" absorbs 1.64 significant strikes per min and Nurmagomedov allows 2.25. Mitchell also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Nurmagomedov prevents 56% of the shots thrown his way.

In the wrestling category, Bryce Mitchell is the more efficient wrestler as he gets a takedown 3.27 times per 3 rds. Mitchell is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his tries and stopping 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Nurmagomedov is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown attempts and defending 62% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Mitchell is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Nurmagomedov attempts 1.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Bryce Mitchell went up against Jean Silva and was on the losing end of this fight by a guillotine choke in round 2. Silva ended up landing 29 of 65 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Mitchell walked away from this fight having landed 37 of 66 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Silva landed 27 of 63, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He ended up landing 11 of 44 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Mitchell ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes by sticking 36 of 64. Of those significant strikes, he landed 7 of 25 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Silva and 97% of them landed by Mitchell were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Said Nurmagomedov, he squared up with Vinicius Oliveira and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Oliveira connected on 72% of his significant strikes at distance while Nurmagomedov landed 97% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nurmagomedov connected on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 38 of 79. He landed 18 of 54 significant strikes directed at the head. Oliveira ended up connecting on 43 of 94 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 24 of 63 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Oliveira ended up landing 68 of 125 and Nurmagomedov was 69 of 111 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Muslim Salikhov faces off against Carlos Leal. Salikhov has a career record of 21-5-0. The 41-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Leal comes in at 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 22-6-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the grappling category, Muslim Salikhov takes his opponents to the mat 1.08 times per 3 rds and Carlos Leal scores a takedown 0.78 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Salikhov tags his opponents 3.38 strikes/minute and is landing 49% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Carlos Leal, who connects on 50% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 9.65 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Da'Mon Blackshear is set to clash with Davey Grant. Grant comes into this fight with a record of 16-7-0. The 39-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Blackshear stands in at 5'10" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 17-7-1. The 30-year-old stretches 72". Regarding takedowns, Davey Grant is preventing 61% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the times he tries. Blackshear is taking his opponents down on 36% of his attempts and deflects 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Grant takes 3.89 strikes per min and he is connecting on 5.25 per min. Blackshear, moreover, absorbs 4.15 strikes/min and deals 4.70 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Bryce Mitchell (-115)

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