Calvin Kattar vs Steve Garcia Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

Calvin Kattar vs Steve Garcia

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Calvin Kattar will face off against Steve Garcia at UFC Nashville on Saturday, July 12, 2025. The opening line has Kattar at +115 while Garcia is at -135.

Calvin Kattar looks to add a victory to his total of 23-9-0. The 37-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Steve "Mean Machine" Garcia stands 6'0" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a record of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old reaches 75". In terms of significant strikes, Calvin Kattar lands 4.60 per minute and Steve Garcia is connecting on 5.04 significant strikes per minute. Kattar lands 38% of the significant strikes he attempts and Garcia lands 56%. When it comes to defending themselves, Kattar takes 6.62 significant strikes per minute and "Mean Machine" allows 2.34. Kattar also prevents 53% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Garcia stops 46% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning grappling, Calvin Kattar is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.36 times per 15 min. Kattar is finishing his takedown attempts on 29% of the times he tries and is defending 77% of all takedowns attempted on him. Garcia is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his takedown attempts and stopping 88% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Kattar is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.1 subs per 3 rounds while Garcia looks to get 0.6 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Calvin Kattar fought Youssef Zalal and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Zalal ended up landing 75 of 134 total strikes that he let go. Kattar ended the night having landed 38 of 134 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Zalal landed 74 of 133 , which means his percentage was 55%. He landed 53 of 104 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Kattar landed 28% of his significant strikes by connecting on 38 of 134 . Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 27 of 110 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Zalal and 92% of them landed by Kattar were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Steve Garcia, he battled Kyle Nelson and wound up getting the win by way of an elbow to the head in round 1. Nelson landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Garcia ended up connecting on 9% of his significant strikes at distance. Garcia landed 59% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 22 of 37 . He connected on 20 of 35 significant strikes directed at the head. Nelson ended up connecting on 1 of 2 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 1 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Nelson ended up connecting on 31 of 36 while Garcia ended up connecting on 39 of 62 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Nate Landwehr encounters Morgan Charriere. Landwehr looks to add a victory to his record of 18-6-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Charriere measures in at 5'8" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 20-11-1. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding grappling, Nate Landwehr scores a takedown 0.85 times per 15 minutes and Morgan Charriere takes his opponents to the canvas 1.91 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Landwehr lands 5.59 strikes/min and connecting on 46% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Morgan Charriere, who lands 49% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.46 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Austen Lane is set to go up against Vitor Petrino. Petrino steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Lane stands 6'6" and is weighing in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-6-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 80". When it comes to takedowns, Vitor Petrino is able to deflect 71% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 57% of his tries. Lane is taking his opponents down on 28% of the tries he takes and thwarts 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Petrino absorbs 2.71 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 2.83 strikes/min. Lane, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.41 strikes/minute and is dealing 2.98 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Calvin Kattar (+115)

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