Carli Judice vs Nicolle Caliari Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds
Carli Judice vs Nicolle Caliari
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Carli Judice will take on Nicolle Caliari at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The opening line has Judice priced at -311 while Caliari is coming in at +247.
Carli "Crispy" Judice steps into the Octagon holding a record of 4-2-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Nicolle Caliari measures in at 5'3" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 62". When talking about significant strikes, Carli Judice connects on 11.18 per minute while Nicolle Caliari lands 3.85 significant strikes per minute. Judice connects on 53% of the significant strikes she attempts while Caliari lands 41%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Crispy" takes 10.01 significant strikes per minute and Caliari takes 5.57. Judice also curbs 53% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Caliari thwarts 55% of the shots thrown.
| UFC 318 | Carli Judice | Nicolle Caliari |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -311 | +247 |
| Record | 4-2-0 | 8-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:33 | 9:53 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'3" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 62" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 11.18 | 3.85 |
| Striking Accuracy | 53% | 41% |
In the grappling category, Carli Judice is not as effective of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.95 times per 15 min. Judice is finishing her takedown attempts on 25% of her tries and stopping 70% of the takedowns her opponents try. Caliari is scoring a takedown on 29% of the takedowns she tries and is defending 10% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Judice is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.6 submissions per 15 min while Caliari looks to get 1.5 submissions per 3 rds.
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In her last fight, Carli Judice went up against Yuneisy Duben and wound up taking home the win via a kick to the head in round 1. Duben landed 14 of 41 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Judice finished this fight landing 19 of 45 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Duben landed 14 of 41, which gave her a percentage of 34%. She landed 8 of 32 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Judice ended up landing 39% of her significant strikes by sticking 17 of 43. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 12 of 34 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Duben and 88% of them connected on by Judice were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Nicolle Caliari, she fought Ernesta Kareckaite and walked away with a loss by split decision in round 3. Kareckaite connected on 91% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Caliari ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Caliari connected on 40% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 67 of 166. She connected on 36 of 120 significant strikes to the head. Kareckaite ended up connecting on 95 of 226 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she connected on 77 of 199 directed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Kareckaite connected on 126 of 266 and Caliari was 86 of 194 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Max Holloway battles Dustin Poirier. Holloway walks into the cage holding a record of 26-8-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Poirier comes in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 30-9-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of takedowns, Max Holloway gets his opposition to the mat 0.25 times per 15 min and Dustin Poirier takes his opponents down 1.24 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Holloway lands an average of 7.16 strikes/minute and lands 47% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Dustin Poirier, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 5.30 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Roman Kopylov is set to clash with Paulo Costa. Costa holds a career record of 14-4-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Kopylov stands 6'0" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In terms of grappling, Paulo Costa is able to stop 80% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 75% of the times he tries. Kopylov is taking his opponents down on 42% of his tries and prevents 87% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Costa absorbs 6.56 strikes per min and he is landing 6.22 strikes/min. Kopylov, at the same time, is taking 4.86 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.96 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Carli Judice (-311)
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