Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Derrick Lewis will face off against Tallison Teixeira at UFC Nashville on Saturday, July 12, 2025. The opening moneyline has Lewis coming in at +210 while Teixeira is at -260.

Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis holds a mark of 28-12-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old is fighting at 260 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Tallison "Xicao" Teixeira stands 6'7" and is weighing in at 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-0-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 83". In the category of significant strikes, Derrick Lewis lands 2.48 per min while Tallison Teixeira connects on 14.61 significant strikes per minute. Lewis connects on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Teixeira is connecting on 59%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Black Beast" absorbs 2.48 significant strikes per min and "Xicao" allows 7.50. Lewis also thwarts 40% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Teixeira is able to curb 59% of them.

In the category of takedowns, Derrick Lewis is the more productive grappler as he scores a takedown 0.57 times per 3 rds. Lewis is getting his opponent to the mat on 26% of his attempts and thwarting 52% of the takedowns his opponents try. Teixeira is taking his opponents down on 10% of his takedown attempts and stopping 10% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Lewis is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes while Teixeira goes for 0.9 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Derrick Lewis faced Rodrigo Nascimento and ended up winning this fight via a punch to the head in round 3. Nascimento ended up landing 72 of 92 total strikes that he let go. Lewis walked away from this fight having landed 47 of 81 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Nascimento ended up landing 27 of 41 , which gave him a percentage of 65%. He ended up landing 16 of 30 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Lewis ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by sticking 41 of 75 . Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 33 of 65 aimed at the head. 29% of the significant strikes connected on by Nascimento and 36% of them connected on by Lewis were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Tallison Teixeira, he squared up with Justin Tafa and wound up taking home the win by way of an elbow to the head in round 1. Tafa ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Teixeira ended up connecting on 12% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Teixeira landed 88% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 8 of 9 . He ended up connecting on 5 of 6 significant strikes to the head. Tafa ended up connecting on 0 of 1 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 0 of 1 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Tafa ended up connecting on 0 of 1 while Teixeira ended up landing 9 of 10 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Stephen Thompson goes up against Gabriel Bonfim. Thompson steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-8-1. The 42-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Bonfim measures 6'1" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 17-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 72". In the grappling category, Stephen Thompson gets his opposition to the mat 0.25 times per 15 min while Gabriel Bonfim gets a takedown 3.68 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Thompson tags his opponents 4.11 strikes per minute and is connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Gabriel Bonfim, who tags his opponent on 43% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 5.22 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Steve Garcia is set to take on Calvin Kattar. Kattar looks to add a victory to his total of 23-9-0. The 37-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Garcia stands 6'0" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a record of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old reaches 75". Concerning wrestling, Calvin Kattar is able to deflect 77% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 29% of his tries. Garcia is taking his opponents down on 40% of his tries and is able to curb 88% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Kattar takes 6.62 strikes/minute while he dishes out 4.60 strikes/min. Garcia, in contrast, is taking 2.34 strikes/min and is connecting on 5.04 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Derrick Lewis (+210)

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