Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds
Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Francisco Prado will battle Nikolay Veretennikov at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The opening line has Prado priced at -152 while Veretennikov is at +124.
Francisco Prado comes into this bout with a mark of 12-3-0. The 23-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Nikolay Veretennikov stands 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-6-0. The 35-year-old reaches 74". When talking about significant strikes, Francisco Prado is landing 4.38 per min while Nikolay Veretennikov connects on 2.73 significant strikes per min. Prado lands 41% of the significant strikes he attempts while Veretennikov is connecting on 56%. Regarding defending in the cage, Prado allows 5.32 significant strikes per minute and Veretennikov takes 3.54. Prado also thwarts 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Veretennikov thwarts 48% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 318 | Francisco Prado | Nikolay Veretennikov |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -152 | +124 |
| Record | 12-3-0 | 12-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:16 | 13:04 |
| Height | 5'10" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.38 | 2.73 |
| Striking Accuracy | 41% | 56% |
When it comes to grappling, Francisco Prado is not as effective of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.31 times per 3 rounds. Prado is getting his opponent to the mat on 9% of his tries and stopping 25% of all takedowns attempted on him. Veretennikov is taking his opponents down on 10% of his takedown tries and thwarting 57% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the sub, Prado is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Veretennikov attempts 0.9 submissions per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Francisco Prado fought Jake Matthews and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Matthews ended up landing 95 of 215 total strikes attempted in that contest. Prado finished this fight landing 64 of 152 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Matthews landed 68 of 184, which gave him a rate of 36%. He landed 39 of 146 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Prado ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by connecting on 59 of 146. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 17 of 92 pointed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes connected on by Matthews and 79% of them landed by Prado were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Nikolay Veretennikov, he went up against Austin Vanderford and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Vanderford ended up landing 7% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Veretennikov connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Veretennikov landed 26% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 5 of 19. He ended up landing 0 of 12 significant strikes aimed at the head. Vanderford connected on 39 of 52 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 37 of 50 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Vanderford landed 102 of 121 while Veretennikov landed 21 of 36 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ateba Gautier meets Robert Valentin. Gautier comes into this fight holding a mark of 7-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The switch fighter has an arm span of 81". Valentin comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-5-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 77". When it comes to grappling, Ateba Gautier takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rounds and Robert Valentin takes his opponents down 0.90 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Gautier is connecting on 6.06 strikes/min and is landing 64% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Robert Valentin, who is connecting on 58% of his attempted strikes and lands 1.10 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Islam Dulatov is set to face off with Adam Fugitt. Fugitt steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-4-0. The 36-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 77". Dulatov comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding wrestling, Adam Fugitt is able to defend against 50% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 29% of the times he tries. Dulatov is finishing his takedown tries on 80% of his attempts and thwarts 10% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Fugitt is taking 4.48 strikes per minute while he is landing 4.72 strikes per minute. Dulatov, on the other hand, is taking 5.49 strikes/min and is dishing out 14.27 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Nikolay Veretennikov (+124)
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