Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/9/2025

Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Jake Matthews will battle Chidi Njokuani at UFC Nashville on Saturday, July 12, 2025. The odds have Matthews priced at -105 while Njokuani is at -115.

Jake "The Celtic Kid" Matthews looks to add a win to his career record of 21-7-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Chidi "Bang Bang" Njokuani stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 25-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 80". Concerning significant strikes, Jake Matthews connects on 3.45 per minute while Chidi Njokuani connects on 4.72 significant strikes per minute. Matthews connects on 43% of the significant strikes he throws while Njokuani connects on 62%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Celtic Kid" allows 2.63 significant strikes per min while "Bang Bang" allows 2.64. Matthews also curbs 61% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Njokuani prevents 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Jake Matthews ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Nashville	Jake Matthews	Chidi Njokuani
Opening Odds	-105	-115
Record	21-7-0	25-10-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	11:44	9:28
Height	5'11"	6'3"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	73"	80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.45	4.72
Striking Accuracy	43%	62%

When it comes to grappling, Jake Matthews is the better wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.46 times per 15 min. Matthews is getting his opponent to the mat on 41% of his attempts and is stuffing 67% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Njokuani is taking his opponents down on 10% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 75% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Matthews is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Njokuani attempts 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Jake Matthews went up against Francisco Prado and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Prado landed 64 of 152 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Matthews finished this fight landing 95 of 215 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Prado ended up landing 59 of 146 , which gave him a percentage of 40%. He landed 17 of 92 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Matthews landed 36% of his significant strikes by connecting on 68 of 184 . Of those significant strikes, he connected on 39 of 146 aimed at the head. 79% of the significant strikes landed by Prado and 82% of them landed by Matthews were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Chidi Njokuani, he fought Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and wound up getting the win by way of a knee to the head in round 2. Santos ended up landing 76% of his significant strikes at distance and Njokuani ended up landing 78% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Njokuani ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 46 of 87 . He connected on 17 of 38 significant strikes aimed at the head. Santos ended up connecting on 17 of 49 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 5 of 28 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Santos ended up connecting on 19 of 54 and Njokuani ended up landing 46 of 88 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Kennedy Nzechukwu enters the Octagon against Valter Walker. Nzechukwu has a career record of 14-5-0. The 33-year-old weighs 236 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The southpaw fighter stretches 83". Walker measures in at 6'6" and weighs 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 13-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 78". Regarding grappling, Kennedy Nzechukwu takes his opponents to the canvas 0.56 times per 15 minutes and Valter Walker takes his opponents to the canvas 4.95 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Nzechukwu is connecting on 5.37 strikes per minute and lands 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Valter Walker, who is connecting on 51% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 1.79 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Mike Davis is set to face off with Mitch Ramirez. Ramirez steps into the cage holding a record of 8-2-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Davis stands in at 6'0" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 72". Regarding wrestling, Mitch Ramirez deflects 10% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 90% of his attempts. Davis is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 57% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Ramirez absorbs 3.34 strikes per minute while he deals 2.37 strikes/min. Davis, notwithstanding, takes 5.19 strikes/min and is landing 4.68 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chidi Njokuani (-115)

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Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

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