Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Pick, 06/21/2025 Predictions UFC Baku Odds

Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

UFC Baku

Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan

Saturday, June 21, 2025

Jamahal Hill will enter the Octagon against Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 21, 2025. The line has Hill coming in at +136 while Rountree is coming in at -162.

Jamahal "Sweet Dreams" Hill comes into this bout with a mark of 12-3-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 79". Khalil Rountree measures 6'1" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 14-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of significant strikes, Jamahal Hill lands 7.05 per min and Khalil Rountree Jr. connects on 3.73 significant strikes per min. Hill is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he throws and Rountree Jr. lands 38%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Sweet Dreams" absorbs 4.02 significant strikes per min and Rountree takes 4.51. Hill also defends 45% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Rountree Jr. is able to thwart 48% of them.

In the wrestling category, Jamahal Hill is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 3 rds. Hill is scoring a takedown on 10% of his tries and is stopping 73% of all takedown attempts. Rountree Jr. is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 58% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, Hill is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Rountree Jr. attempts 0.1 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Jamahal Hill faced Jiri Prochazka and walked away with a loss via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Prochazka ended up landing 101 of 170 total strikes attempted in that contest. Hill finished this fight landing 84 of 180 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Prochazka landed 97 of 165, which means his percentage was 58%. He ended up landing 73 of 132 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Hill ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by landing 81 of 177. Out of those significant strikes, he was 55 of 145 pointed at the head. 73% of the significant strikes connected on by Prochazka and 83% of them landed by Hill were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Khalil Rountree Jr., he went up against Alex Pereira and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 4. Pereira connected on 96% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Jr. ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Jr. ended up landing 31% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 61 of 191. He connected on 34 of 155 significant strikes directed at the head. Pereira ended up landing 127 of 209 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 92 of 167 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Pereira was 129 of 211 and Rountree landed 62 of 193 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Rafael Fiziev goes up against Ignacio Bahamondes. Fiziev looks to add a victory to his record of 12-4-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The switch fighter reaches 71". Bahamondes comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old stretches 75". In terms of takedowns, Rafael Fiziev gets his opposition to the mat 0.50 times per 3 rds and Ignacio Bahamondes gets a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Fiziev lands 4.85 strikes/minute and lands 52% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Ignacio Bahamondes, who tags the opposition on 47% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 7.09 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Rizvan Kuniev is set to go up against Curtis Blaydes. Blaydes comes into this fight with a record of 18-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Kuniev comes in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 240 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 12-2-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old reaches 76". When it comes to takedowns, Curtis Blaydes curbs 31% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 53% of his tries. Kuniev is taking his opponents down on 75% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Blaydes is absorbing 1.91 strikes per min while he lands 3.54 strikes per min. Kuniev, on the contrary, is taking 1.25 strikes/min and deals 5.82 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jamahal Hill (+136)

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