Jimmy Crute vs Marcin Prachnio Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds

Jimmy Crute vs Marcin Prachnio

UFC 318

Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Jimmy Crute will enter the Octagon against Marcin Prachnio at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The odds have Crute at -310 while Prachnio is coming in at +246.

Jimmy Crute will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-4-2. The 29-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Marcin Prachnio comes in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 17-8-0. The 37-year-old stretches 74". Concerning significant strikes, Jimmy Crute lands 4.37 per minute and Marcin Prachnio connects on 5.57 significant strikes per min. Crute is landing 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Prachnio lands 54%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Crute takes 3.63 significant strikes per min while Prachnio allows 3.24. Crute also prevents 42% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Prachnio thwarts 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Jimmy Crute is the more productive wrestler as he gets a takedown 3.86 times per 3 rds. Crute is taking his opponents to the canvas on 52% of his tries and is stuffing 58% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Prachnio is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 53% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Crute is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 1.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Prachnio goes for 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Jimmy Crute squared up with Rodolfo Bellato and ended up in a draw via majority decision in round 3. Bellato landed 95 of 148 total strikes attempted in that fight. Crute finished this fight landing 139 of 247 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Bellato ended up landing 89 of 141, giving him a percentage of 63%. He ended up landing 36 of 76 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Crute landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 106 of 209. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 93 of 190 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Bellato and 72% of them landed by Crute were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Marcin Prachnio, he fought Modestas Bukauskas and was on the losing end of this fight via an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Bukauskas ended up connecting on 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Prachnio ended up landing 82% of his significant strikes at distance. Prachnio ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 70 of 139. He ended up landing 19 of 74 significant strikes to the head. Bukauskas connected on 38 of 76 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 28 of 64 to the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Bukauskas ended up connecting on 56 of 101 while Prachnio landed 120 of 200 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ryan Spann takes on Lukasz Brzeski. Spann comes into this bout with a mark of 22-11-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Brzeski comes in at 6'4" and weighs 236 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 9-6-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 78". In terms of takedowns, Ryan Spann takes his opponents to the mat 1.17 times per 15 min and Lukasz Brzeski takes his opponents down 0.43 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Spann connects for an average of 3.20 strikes/minute and is landing 39% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Lukasz Brzeski, who connects on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 5.02 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Nicolle Caliari is set to go up against Carli Judice. Judice steps into the Octagon holding a record of 4-2-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Caliari measures in at 5'3" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 62". Concerning wrestling, Carli Judice curbs 70% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 25% of her tries. Caliari is taking her opponents to the mat on 29% of the tries she takes and thwarts 10% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Judice absorbs 10.01 strikes per min and she is landing 11.18 strikes/min. Caliari, on the other hand, takes 5.57 strikes/min and dishes out 3.85 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jimmy Crute (-310)

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