Junior Tafa vs Tuco Tokkos Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

Junior Tafa vs Tuco Tokkos

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Junior Tafa will take on Tuco Tokkos at UFC Nashville on Saturday, July 12, 2025. The odds have Tafa priced at -180 while Tokkos is coming in at +150.

Junior "The Juggernaut" Tafa will be looking to add a victory to his total of 6-3-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Tuco Tokkos stands 6'4" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 10-5-0. The 35-year-old reaches 76". In the category of significant strikes, Junior Tafa is landing 3.36 per minute while Tuco Tokkos is connecting on 2.51 significant strikes per min. Tafa is landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Tokkos is landing 38%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Juggernaut" absorbs 2.84 significant strikes per min and Tokkos allows 4.99. Tafa also prevents 51% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Tokkos is able to deflect 48% of them.

Concerning takedowns, Junior Tafa is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. Tafa is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his tries and stopping 77% of all takedowns attempted on him. Tokkos is taking his opponents down on 40% of his takedown tries and is defending 33% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Tafa is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Tokkos goes for 0.9 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Junior Tafa squared up with Sean Sharaf and took home the win by a punch to the head in round 2. Sharaf ended up landing 54 of 122 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Tafa finished this fight landing 71 of 128 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Sharaf ended up landing 53 of 118 , which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 39 of 101 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Tafa ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by landing 71 of 128 . In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 61 of 117 pointed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Sharaf and 100% of them landed by Tafa were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Tuco Tokkos, he squared up with Navajo Stirling and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Stirling connected on 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Tokkos landed 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Tokkos ended up landing 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 32 of 90 . He ended up connecting on 18 of 70 significant strikes directed at the head. Stirling landed 78 of 155 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 33 of 94 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Stirling ended up landing 99 of 181 and Tokkos connected on 34 of 93 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Max Griffin faces off with Chris Curtis. Griffin comes into this bout holding a record of 20-11-0. The 39-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Curtis stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 31-12-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In the grappling category, Max Griffin scores a takedown 1.37 times per 3 rounds and Chris Curtis is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Griffin lands an average of 3.75 strikes per min and lands 48% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Chris Curtis, who is connecting on 51% of the strikes he attempts and lands 6.16 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Chidi Njokuani is set to battle Jake Matthews. Matthews looks to add a win to his career record of 21-7-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Njokuani stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 25-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 80". In terms of wrestling, Jake Matthews thwarts 67% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 41% of his tries. Njokuani is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 75% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Matthews is absorbing 2.63 strikes/min and he is landing 3.45 strikes per minute. Njokuani, at the same time, takes 2.64 strikes per minute and connects on 4.72 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tuco Tokkos (+150)

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