Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds
Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Kevin Holland will enter the Octagon with Daniel Rodriguez at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The moneyline has Holland coming in at -442 while Rodriguez is priced at +351.
Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland will be looking to add a win to his career record of 28-13-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 81". Daniel "D-Rod" Rodriguez comes in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-5-0. The 38-year-old reaches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Kevin Holland lands 4.24 per min and Daniel Rodriguez connects on 7.39 significant strikes per min. Holland is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts and Rodriguez connects on 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Trailblazer" allows 3.11 significant strikes per min while "D-Rod" takes 5.39. Holland also thwarts 50% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Rodriguez stops 57% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 318 | Kevin Holland | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -442 | +351 |
| Record | 28-13-0 (1 NC) | 19-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:19 | 11:36 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 81" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.24 | 7.39 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 48% |
Concerning grappling, Kevin Holland is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.81 times per 15 min. Holland is scoring a takedown on 39% of his attempts and is stuffing 55% of the takedowns his opponents try. Rodriguez is finishing his takedowns on 54% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 63% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Holland is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Rodriguez looks to get 0.1 finishes per 15 min.
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In his previous bout, Kevin Holland went up against Vicente Luque and took home the victory by way of an anaconda choke in round 2. Luque ended up landing 24 of 46 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Holland walked away from this fight having landed 44 of 78 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Luque landed 24 of 46, giving him a percentage of 52%. He landed 14 of 32 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Holland landed 54% of his significant strikes by sticking 40 of 74. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 25 of 58 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Luque and 65% of them connected on by Holland were tallied at a distance.
In the last fight for Daniel Rodriguez, he fought Santiago Ponzinibbio and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 3. Ponzinibbio ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Rodriguez connected on 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Rodriguez ended up landing 39% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 66 of 166. He landed 39 of 131 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ponzinibbio ended up connecting on 49 of 111 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 31 of 83 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Ponzinibbio landed 50 of 115 and Rodriguez connected on 70 of 170 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Dan Ige faces off against Patricio Freire. Ige will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-9-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Freire stands in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 36-8-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 67". In terms of takedowns, Dan Ige scores a takedown 0.94 times per 15 min and Patricio Freire takes his opponents to the canvas 0.69 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Ige is connecting on 3.67 strikes per minute and connects on 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Patricio Freire, who is landing 40% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 2.45 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Daniel Zellhuber is set to square up against Michael Johnson. Johnson steps into the Octagon holding a record of 24-19-0. The 39-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Zellhuber stands in at 6'1" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a record of 15-2-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding wrestling, Michael Johnson is able to thwart 81% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the times he tries. Zellhuber is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 94% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Johnson is absorbing 3.80 strikes per min while he dishes out 4.23 strikes per min. Zellhuber, on the other hand, absorbs 6.02 strikes/minute and is dealing 6.26 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kevin Holland (-442)
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