Lone'er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
Lone'er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson
UFC Shanghai
Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai, China
Saturday, August 23, 2025
Lone'er Kavanagh will enter the Octagon with Charles Johnson at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 23, 2025. The opening line has Kavanagh coming in at -190 while Johnson is coming in at +165.
Lone'er Kavanagh has a career record of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Charles "InnerG" Johnson stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 126 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 17-7-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Lone'er Kavanagh is connecting on 3.73 per minute while Charles Johnson lands 4.74 significant strikes per minute. Kavanagh lands 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Johnson is connecting on 49%. In terms of defending themselves, Kavanagh allows 3.42 significant strikes per minute while "InnerG" allows 3.62. Kavanagh also deflects 61% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Johnson curbs 57% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Shanghai | Lone'er Kavanagh | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -190 | +165 |
| Record | 9-0-0 | 17-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:48 | 13:38 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 126 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.73 | 4.74 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 49% |
Regarding wrestling, Lone'er Kavanagh is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.85 times per 15 min. Kavanagh is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts and is stopping 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Johnson is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 67% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Kavanagh is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes while Johnson tries 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his previous bout, Lone'er Kavanagh fought Felipe dos Santos and wound up taking home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Santos landed 92 of 147 total strikes attempted in that fight. Kavanagh finished this fight landing 71 of 112 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Santos ended up landing 51 of 104, which gave him a percentage of 49%. He ended up landing 28 of 67 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Kavanagh landed 59% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 58 of 97. Out of those significant strikes, he was 37 of 71 aimed at the head. 54% of the significant strikes connected on by Santos and 50% of them landed by Kavanagh were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Charles Johnson, he faced off with Ramazan Temirov and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Temirov landed 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Johnson landed 69% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Johnson ended up connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 66 of 156. He ended up connecting on 28 of 104 significant strikes aimed at the head. Temirov ended up connecting on 55 of 139 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 42 of 117 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Temirov landed 59 of 146 while Johnson connected on 87 of 183 total strikes.
Other fights to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Rongzhu fights Austin Hubbard. Rongzhu steps into the cage holding a mark of 26-6-0. The 25-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Hubbard stands 5'10" and weighs in at 156 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 17-9-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". In the grappling category, Rongzhu is averaging a takedown 1.56 times per 15 min while Austin Hubbard is averaging a takedown 1.59 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Rongzhu connects on 5.90 strikes/minute and is landing 51% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Austin Hubbard, who connects on 43% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 3.87 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kyle Daukaus is set to encounter Michel Pereira. Pereira comes into this fight with a record of 31-13-0 (2 NC). The 31-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Daukaus measures 6'3" and records a weight of 186 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 15-4-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 76". In terms of grappling, Michel Pereira is able to deflect 76% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of the times he tries. Daukaus is taking his opponents down on 25% of his tries and thwarts 82% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Pereira is absorbing 4.33 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 4.50 strikes per min. Daukaus, moreover, takes 2.94 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.22 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Lone'er Kavanagh (-190)
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