Max Griffin vs Chris Curtis Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

Max Griffin vs Chris Curtis

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Max Griffin will face off with Chris Curtis at UFC Nashville on Saturday, July 12, 2025. The moneyline has Griffin priced at +250 while Curtis is at -320.

Max "Pain" Griffin comes into this bout holding a record of 20-11-0. The 39-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Chris "Action-Man" Curtis stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 31-12-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 75". With respect to significant strikes, Max Griffin is connecting on 3.75 per minute and Chris Curtis connects on 6.16 significant strikes per min. Griffin is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Curtis lands 51%. In terms of defending themselves, "Pain" absorbs 3.66 significant strikes per min and "Action-Man" allows 6.43. Griffin also defends against 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Curtis is able to curb 53% of the shots thrown.

In the grappling category, Max Griffin is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.37 times per 3 rds. Griffin is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his attempts and thwarting 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Curtis is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 82% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Griffin is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Curtis attempts 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Max Griffin fought Michael Chiesa and was on the losing end of this fight by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Chiesa ended up landing 54 of 87 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Griffin ended the night having landed 18 of 43 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Chiesa ended up landing 13 of 39 , which means his percentage was 33%. He finished the fight landing 11 of 33 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Griffin landed 29% of his significant strikes by connecting on 10 of 34 . In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 9 of 33 aimed at the head. 69% of the significant strikes landed by Chiesa and 100% of them landed by Griffin were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Chris Curtis, he faced off with Roman Kopylov and was defeated by way of a kick to the head in round 3. Kopylov connected on 95% of his significant strikes at distance and Curtis ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Curtis ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 142 of 261 . He connected on 107 of 204 significant strikes directed at the head. Kopylov ended up landing 130 of 307 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 91 of 266 aimed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Kopylov was 133 of 310 and Curtis ended up connecting on 146 of 265 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jake Matthews squares up against Chidi Njokuani. Matthews looks to add a win to his career record of 21-7-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Njokuani stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 25-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 80". When it comes to grappling, Jake Matthews takes his opponents to the canvas 1.46 times per 3 rds and Chidi Njokuani is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Matthews connects for an average of 3.45 strikes/min and landing 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Chidi Njokuani, who lands 62% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.72 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Valter Walker is set to enter the Octagon with Kennedy Nzechukwu. Nzechukwu has a career record of 14-5-0. The 33-year-old weighs 236 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The southpaw fighter stretches 83". Walker measures in at 6'6" and weighs 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 13-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 78". Regarding takedowns, Kennedy Nzechukwu is preventing 81% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his tries. Walker is finishing his takedowns on 70% of his attempts and curbs 10% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Nzechukwu is absorbing 4.89 strikes per min while he lands 5.37 strikes/min. Walker, moreover, absorbs 3.02 strikes per min and lands 1.79 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Max Griffin (+250)

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