Rafael Fiziev vs Ignacio Bahamondes Pick, 06/21/2025 Predictions UFC Baku Odds

Rafael Fiziev vs Ignacio Bahamondes

UFC Baku

Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan

Saturday, June 21, 2025

Rafael Fiziev will face off against Ignacio Bahamondes at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 21, 2025. The opening moneyline has Fiziev at -108 while Bahamondes is priced at -112.

Rafael "Ataman" Fiziev looks to add a victory to his record of 12-4-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The switch fighter reaches 71". Ignacio "La Jaula" Bahamondes comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old stretches 75". In terms of significant strikes, Rafael Fiziev connects on 4.85 per min while Ignacio Bahamondes is connecting on 7.09 significant strikes per min. Fiziev lands 52% of the significant strikes he attempts while Bahamondes connects on 47%. In terms of defending themselves, "Ataman" allows 4.95 significant strikes per minute and "La Jaula" absorbs 4.36. Fiziev also defends against 48% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Bahamondes defends against 57% of the shots thrown.

In the wrestling category, Rafael Fiziev is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds. Fiziev is getting his opponent to the mat on 57% of the times he tries and is defending 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. Bahamondes is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, Fiziev is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 min while Bahamondes looks to get 0.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Rafael Fiziev went up against Justin Gaethje and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Gaethje landed 98 of 163 total strikes that he let go. Fiziev ended the night having landed 81 of 134 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Gaethje landed 72 of 134, which gave him a rate of 53%. He landed 56 of 117 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Fiziev landed 57% of his significant strikes by sticking 68 of 119. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 20 of 61 pointed at the head. 56% of the significant strikes connected on by Gaethje and 72% of them landed by Fiziev were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Ignacio Bahamondes, he squared up with Jalin Turner and ended up getting the win by a triangle choke in round 1. Turner landed 71% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Bahamondes landed 60% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bahamondes ended up connecting on 62% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 10 of 16. He landed 7 of 13 significant strikes directed at the head. Turner connected on 7 of 20 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 4 of 16 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Turner was 11 of 25 while Bahamondes landed 17 of 23 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Curtis Blaydes enters the Octagon against Rizvan Kuniev. Blaydes comes into this fight with a record of 18-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Kuniev comes in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 240 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 12-2-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old reaches 76". When it comes to grappling, Curtis Blaydes takes his opponents to the mat 5.69 times per 15 min and Rizvan Kuniev gets a takedown 2.82 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Blaydes is connecting on 3.54 strikes/min and lands 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Rizvan Kuniev, who lands 72% of the strikes that he throws and lands 5.82 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Nikolas Motta is set to go up against Nazim Sadykhov. Sadykhov walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-1-1. The 31-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 69". Motta measures 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 15-5-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 70". Concerning wrestling, Nazim Sadykhov is able to stop 75% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 62% of his tries. Motta is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his tries and prevents 82% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Sadykhov takes 5.66 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 4.70 strikes per minute. Motta, in contrast, takes 4.50 strikes/minute and is connecting on 3.64 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ignacio Bahamondes (-112)

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