Sam Patterson vs Trey Waters Pick, 09/06/2025 Predictions UFC Paris Odds
Sam Patterson vs Trey Waters
UFC Paris
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 6, 2025
Sam Patterson will face off against Trey Waters at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 6, 2025. The odds have Patterson at -175 while Waters is at +150.
Sam Patterson steps into the cage with a mark of 13-2-1. The 29-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Trey "The Truth" Waters measures in at 6' 5" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 9-1-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Sam Patterson is connecting on 3.17 per minute while Trey Waters lands 6.43 significant strikes per minute. Patterson is landing 41% of the significant strikes he throws and Waters lands 44%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Patterson takes 3.60 significant strikes per minute and "The Truth" absorbs 5.61. Patterson also stops 48% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Waters defends against 56% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Paris | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -175 | +150 |
| Record | 13-2-1 | 9-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 3:43 | 11:24 |
| Height | 6' 3" | 6' 5" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 77" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.17 | 6.43 |
| Striking Accuracy | 41% | 44% |
In terms of takedowns, Sam Patterson is the better grappler as he scores a takedown 1.61 times per 3 rounds. Patterson is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his attempts and is stopping 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Waters is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Patterson is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 3.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Waters attempts 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his previous fight, Sam Patterson faced Danny Barlow and wound up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Barlow landed 15 of 30 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Patterson walked away from this fight having landed 18 of 34 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Barlow landed 15 of 30, which gave him a rate of 50%. He landed 10 of 23 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Patterson landed 52% of his significant strikes by sticking 18 of 34. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 14 of 28 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Barlow and 83% of them connected on by Patterson were done at distance.
In the last fight for Trey Waters, he fought Billy Ray Goff and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Goff ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Waters landed 97% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Waters ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 96 of 225. He landed 88 of 211 significant strikes aimed at the head. Goff landed 116 of 249 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 64 of 176 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Goff ended up connecting on 129 of 265 while Waters ended up landing 107 of 236 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Brad Tavares squares up in the Octagon against Robert Bryczek. Rongzhu holds a mark of 21-11-0. The 37-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures in at 6' 1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Bryczek stands 6' 0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 17-6-0. The 35-year-old stretches 75". When it comes to grappling, Brad Tavares gets a takedown 0.71 times per 15 min while Robert Bryczek gets a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Rongzhu tags his opponents 3.42 strikes per minute and is connecting on 43% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Robert Bryczek, who tags the opposition on 24% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.13 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Sam Hughes is set to square up against Shauna Bannon. Bannon will be looking to add a victory to her total of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and comes in at 5' 5". The switch fighter reaches 65". Hughes measures in at 5' 5" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-6-0. The 33-year-old reaches 64". When it comes to takedowns, Shauna Bannon defends against 42% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 0% of the times she tries. Hughes is taking her opponents to the mat on 32% of her tries and prevents 60% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Bannon absorbs 3.88 strikes/min while she is dealing 4.77 per min. Hughes, on the contrary, is absorbing 4.57 strikes per min and is landing 4.41 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sam Patterson (-175)
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