Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds

Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas

UFC Shanghai

Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai, China

Saturday, August 23, 2025

Sumudaerji will enter the Octagon with Kevin Borjas at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 23, 2025. The moneyline has Sumudaerji coming in at -165 while Borjas is coming in at +145.

Sumudaerji holds a record of 17-7-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 72". Kevin "El Gallo Negro" Borjas comes in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 126 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 68". When talking about significant strikes, Sumudaerji lands 4.40 per min while Kevin Borjas connects on 5.10 significant strikes per min. Sumudaerji is landing 51% of the significant strikes he tries and Borjas lands 44%. Regarding defense, "The Tibetan Eagle" absorbs 2.63 significant strikes per minute and "El Gallo Negro" allows 5.99. Sumudaerji also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Borjas thwarts 51% of the shots thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Sumudaerji is the lesser skilled grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.18 times per 3 rounds. Sumudaerji is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of the times he tries and thwarting 67% of the takedowns his opponents try. Borjas is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 65% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing opponents, Sumudaerji is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Borjas goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Sumudaerji faced Mitch Raposo and ended up getting the win via split decision in round 3. Raposo ended up landing 13 of 30 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Sumudaerji ended the night having landed 78 of 150 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Raposo ended up landing 9 of 26, which gave him a rate of 34%. He landed 8 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Sumudaerji ended up landing 39% of his significant strikes by connecting on 45 of 114. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 25 of 84 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Raposo and 86% of them connected on by Sumudaerji were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Kevin Borjas, he faced off with Ronaldo Rodriguez and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Rodriguez ended up landing 98% of his significant strikes at distance while Borjas connected on 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Borjas landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 83 of 141. He ended up connecting on 72 of 129 significant strikes directed at the head. Rodriguez landed 64 of 151 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 31 of 110 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Rodriguez was 64 of 151 and Borjas landed 84 of 142 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Taiyilake Nueraji battles Kiefer Crosbie. Nueraji looks to add a win to his career record of 11-1-0 (1 NC). The 24-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Crosbie comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 171 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-5-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of takedowns, Taiyilake Nueraji gets his opposition to the mat 0.30 times per 15 minutes and Kiefer Crosbie takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Nueraji tags his opponents 11.01 strikes per minute and connecting on 48% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Kiefer Crosbie, who tags the opposition on 64% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 6.27 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gauge Young is set to take on Maheshate. Maheshate holds a career mark of 10-4-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Young measures 5'9" and records a weight of 156 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 9-3-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of wrestling, Maheshate is stopping 45% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his attempts. Young is finishing his takedowns on 10% of his tries and is able to stop 64% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Maheshate is taking 5.64 strikes per minute and he is connecting on 3.86 per min. Young, moreover, is absorbing 6.53 strikes/minute and deals 4.83 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kevin Borjas (+145)

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