Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie
UFC Shanghai
Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai, China
Saturday, August 23, 2025
Taiyilake Nueraji will face off with Kiefer Crosbie at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 23, 2025. The opener has Nueraji coming in at -470 while Crosbie is coming in at +370.
Taiyilake "Super Saiyan" Nueraji looks to add a win to his career record of 11-1-0 (1 NC). The 24-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Kiefer "BDK" Crosbie comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 171 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-5-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 70". Concerning significant strikes, Taiyilake Nueraji connects on 11.01 per min and Kiefer Crosbie is connecting on 6.27 significant strikes per minute. Nueraji connects on 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Crosbie connects on 64%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Super Saiyan" allows 7.39 significant strikes per min and "BDK" absorbs 4.97. Nueraji also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Crosbie is able to deflect 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Shanghai | Taiyilake Nueraji | Kiefer Crosbie |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -470 | +370 |
| Record | 11-1-0 (1 NC) | 10-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 6:38 | 3:50 |
| Height | 6'2" | 5'11" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 171 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 11.01 | 6.27 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 64% |
In the wrestling category, Taiyilake Nueraji is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 minutes. Nueraji is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his attempts and stopping 10% of all takedown tries against him. Crosbie is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his takedown tries and thwarting 10% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the sub, Nueraji is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.7 finishes per 3 rds while Crosbie looks to get 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his last bout, Taiyilake Nueraji fought HanSeul Kim and ended up getting the win by an elbow to the head in round 2. Kim landed 49 of 119 total strikes attempted in that contest. Nueraji finished this fight landing 73 of 150 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Kim landed 49 of 119, which means his percentage was 41%. He finished the fight landing 35 of 105 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nueraji ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 73 of 150. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 37 of 98 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Kim and 98% of them connected on by Nueraji were done at distance.
In the last fight for Kiefer Crosbie, he went up against Sam Patterson and wound up walking away in defeat by an arm triangle in round 1. Patterson landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Crosbie ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Crosbie landed 56% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 9 of 16. He ended up connecting on 4 of 8 significant strikes to the head. Patterson landed 9 of 26 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 8 of 24 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Patterson connected on 13 of 31 while Crosbie landed 10 of 17 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Maheshate takes on Gauge Young. Maheshate holds a career mark of 10-4-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Young measures 5'9" and records a weight of 156 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 9-3-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding grappling, Maheshate takes his opponents down 0.20 times per 15 min and Gauge Young is able to score a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Maheshate lands an average of 3.86 strikes per min and connects on 29% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Gauge Young, who connects on 48% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 4.83 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Charles Johnson is set to square up against Lone'er Kavanagh. Kavanagh has a career record of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Johnson stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 126 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 17-7-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Concerning wrestling, Lone'er Kavanagh stops 90% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries. Johnson is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the tries he takes and defends against 67% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Kavanagh takes 3.42 strikes/minute and he is dealing 3.73 strikes per minute. Johnson, in contrast, is absorbing 3.62 strikes per min and dishes out 4.74 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Taiyilake Nueraji (-470)
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