Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/14/2026

Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Alice Ardelean will face off with Polyana Viana at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. The line has Ardelean priced at -200 while Viana is priced at +170.

Alice Ardelean steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-7-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 62". Polyana "Dama de Ferro" Viana stands 5'5" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 13-8-0. The 33-year-old stretches 67". With respect to significant strikes, Alice Ardelean lands 7.35 per minute and Polyana Viana lands 2.74 significant strikes per minute. Ardelean connects on 45% of the significant strikes she attempts and Viana is landing 40%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Ardelean takes 5.20 significant strikes per minute while "Dama de Ferro" takes 2.50. Ardelean also stops 62% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Viana deflects 53% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Polyana Viana predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 117	Alice Ardelean	Polyana Viana
Opening Odds	-200	+170
Record	11-7-0	13-8-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	7:15
Height	5'3"	5'5"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	62"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	7.35	2.74
Striking Accuracy	45%	40%

Concerning grappling, Alice Ardelean is the better grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.00 times per 15 minutes. Ardelean is getting her opponent to the mat on 44% of her tries and is stopping 85% of the takedowns her opponents try. Viana is taking her opponents to the canvas on 33% of her takedown tries and defending 35% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submissions, Ardelean is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Viana attempts 1.7 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In her last fight, Alice Ardelean faced Montserrat Conejo Ruiz and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Ruiz ended up landing 91 of 291 total strikes that she let go. Ardelean ended the night having landed 146 of 288 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ruiz ended up landing 85 of 282, which means her percentage was 30%. She ended up landing 54 of 239 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Ardelean ended up landing 49% of her significant strikes by sticking 138 of 280. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 103 of 235 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Ruiz and 99% of them landed by Ardelean were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Polyana Viana, she went up against Jaqueline Amorim and walked away in defeat via rear naked choke in round 2. Amorim landed 16% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Viana ended up landing 0% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Viana ended up landing 0% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 0 of 6. She landed 0 of 4 significant strikes to the head. Amorim landed 6 of 8 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 5 of 5 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Amorim was 29 of 43 while Viana was 23 of 31 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Shauna Bannon squares up against Nicolle Caliari. Bannon walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-2-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The switch fighter reaches 65". Caliari comes in at 5'3" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 62". In terms of takedowns, Shauna Bannon gets a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds and Nicolle Caliari is able to score a takedown 2.88 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Bannon connects on 4.32 strikes/minute and is landing 43% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Nicolle Caliari, who is landing 38% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 3.46 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Melquizael Costa is set to encounter Arnold Allen. Allen has a mark of 20-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Costa stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 26-7-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 71". Concerning wrestling, Arnold Allen is able to thwart 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 47% of his attempts. Costa is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his attempts and prevents 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Allen is taking 3.04 strikes/min while he deals 3.47 strikes per minute. Costa, in contrast, is taking 2.97 strikes/min and deals 4.38 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Polyana Viana (+170)

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Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

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