Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds

Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris

UFC Vegas 122

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 3, 2026

Allen Frye Jr. will face off against RJ Harris at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The moneyline has Jr. coming in at +265 while Harris is at -325.

Allen "AJ" Frye Jr. steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 6-1-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 255 lbs and comes in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". RJ "The Hammer" Harris measures in at 6'3" and weighs 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 6-0-0. The 28-year-old reaches 78". Regarding significant strikes, Allen Frye Jr. is connecting on 2.20 per minute while RJ Harris lands 9.00 significant strikes per min. Frye Jr. lands 38% of the significant strikes he tries and Harris is connecting on 57%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "AJ" takes 4.27 significant strikes per min while "The Hammer" takes 6.60. Frye Jr. also stops 36% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Harris prevents 56% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning grappling, Allen Frye Jr. is the more skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rds. Frye Jr. is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and thwarting 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. Harris is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 15% of the tries against him. In terms of submissions, Frye Jr. is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Harris tries 0.9 finishes per 3 rds.

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

In his last fight, Allen Frye Jr. fought Guilherme Pat and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Pat landed 76 of 114 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Jr. ended the night having landed 73 of 132 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Pat ended up landing 64 of 100, giving him a percentage of 64%. He ended up landing 53 of 88 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Jr. landed 38% of his significant strikes by sticking 33 of 86. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 17 of 65 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Pat and 57% of them landed by Jr. were done at a distance.

In the last fight for RJ Harris, he went up against Alvin Hines and wound up taking home the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Hines ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Harris ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Harris connected on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 15 of 26. He ended up landing 12 of 23 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hines connected on 11 of 25 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 0 of 5 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Hines was 11 of 25 and Harris landed 17 of 28 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Loopy Godinez goes up against Ketlen Souza. Godinez walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-6-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Souza measures in at 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 63". Regarding grappling, Loopy Godinez is able to score a takedown 2.99 times per 3 rds while Ketlen Souza takes her opponents to the canvas 0.45 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Godinez connects on 4.43 strikes per min and is landing 49% out of all the strikes she attempts. Joining her in the Octagon is Ketlen Souza, who connects on 57% of the strikes she has attempted and is landing 4.11 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Daria Zhelezniakova is set to square up against Alice Pereira. Pereira comes into this fight with a mark of 7-1-0. The 20-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 71". Zhelezniakova stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old stretches 68". Concerning grappling, Alice Pereira is thwarting 75% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 15% of her tries. Zhelezniakova is taking her opponents down on 85% of her tries and deflects 50% of all takedown tries against her. With reference to striking, Pereira is taking 3.11 strikes per min and she is landing 2.83 per min. Zhelezniakova, in contrast, takes 3.38 strikes per minute and deals 4.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take RJ Harris (-325)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Most Recent UFC Picks

• Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
• Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds