Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa
UFC Vegas 117
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, May 16, 2026
Arnold Allen will battle Melquizael Costa at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. The opener has Allen priced at -145 while Costa is coming in at +125.
Arnold "Almighty" Allen has a mark of 20-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Melquizael "The Dalmatian" Costa stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 26-7-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 71". Concerning significant strikes, Arnold Allen is connecting on 3.47 per min while Melquizael Costa is connecting on 4.38 significant strikes per minute. Allen is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he throws and Costa is connecting on 49%. In terms of defending themselves, "Almighty" absorbs 3.04 significant strikes per min while "The Dalmatian" takes 2.97. Allen also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Costa curbs 54% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 117 | Arnold Allen | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -145 | +125 |
| Record | 20-4-0 | 26-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:43 | 9:11 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 70" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.47 | 4.38 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 49% |
In the wrestling category, Arnold Allen is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.86 times per 15 min. Allen is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of his attempts and is defending 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Costa is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 58% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Allen is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Costa looks to get 1.1 subs per 15 minutes.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our Free UFC Picks
The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Arnold Allen went up against Jean Silva and was on the losing end of this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Silva landed 78 of 141 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Allen walked away from this fight having landed 60 of 121 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Silva landed 74 of 136, which gave him a percentage of 54%. He finished the fight landing 43 of 103 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Allen landed 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 56 of 116. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 37 of 86 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Silva and 94% of them landed by Allen were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Melquizael Costa, he fought Dan Ige and wound up getting the victory by way of a spinning kick to the head in round 1. Ige connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Costa connected on 68% of his significant strikes at distance. Costa connected on 47% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 19 of 40. He ended up landing 9 of 26 significant strikes to the head. Ige landed 7 of 11 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 2 of 5 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Ige landed 12 of 16 and Costa connected on 26 of 48 total strikes.
Other fights to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Dooho Choi meets Daniel Santos. Choi comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-4-1. The 35-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Santos comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old reaches 67". In the grappling category, Dooho Choi takes his opponents to the canvas 1.43 times per 3 rounds and Daniel Santos scores a takedown 3.01 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Choi connects on 4.67 strikes/minute and is connecting on 56% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Daniel Santos, who connects on 40% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.76 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Juan Diaz is set to square up against Malcolm Wellmaker. Wellmaker will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-1-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The switch fighter stretches 71". Diaz measures 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 15-1-1. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 69". When it comes to takedowns, Malcolm Wellmaker is able to stop 57% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries. Diaz is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 15% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Wellmaker absorbs 5.39 strikes per minute while he is dealing 5.80 strikes/minute. Diaz, on the contrary, absorbs 5.02 strikes per minute and is connecting on 5.82 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arnold Allen (-145)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Nikolay Veretennikov vs Khaos Williams Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
- Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds