Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves Pick, 08/22/2026 Predictions UFC Sacramento Odds
Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves
UFC Sacramento
Golden 1 Center in Sacramento
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Carli Judice will battle Jeisla Chaves at UFC Sacramento on Saturday, August 22, 2026. The opening moneyline has Judice priced at -525 while Chaves is at +400.
Carli "Crispy" Judice holds a mark of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Jeisla "A Braba" Chaves measures 5'6" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 8-0-0. The 29-year-old reaches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Carli Judice lands 9.32 per minute while Jeisla Chaves connects on 4.97 significant strikes per minute. Judice is landing 50% of the significant strikes she attempts and Chaves connects on 56%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Crispy" takes 6.62 significant strikes per minute and "A Braba" takes 4.20. Judice also curbs 57% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Chaves curbs 53% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Sacramento | Carli Judice | Jeisla Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -525 | +400 |
| Record | 6-2-0 | 8-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:38 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 9.32 | 4.97 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 56% |
Regarding grappling, Carli Judice is the not as competent as a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.52 times per 15 minutes. Judice is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times she tries and is defending 80% of the takedowns her opponents try. Chaves is getting her opponent to the mat on 37% of her takedown tries and stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Judice is the more skilled technician by going for 0.6 subs per 15 minutes while Chaves attempts 0.5 subs per 3 rounds.
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In her previous bout, Carli Judice went up against Juliana Miller and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Miller ended up landing 46 of 138 total strikes attempted in that fight. Judice finished this fight landing 104 of 214 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Miller ended up landing 36 of 122, which gave her a rate of 29%. She landed 24 of 100 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Judice landed 42% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 79 of 185. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she connected on 53 of 143 aimed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Miller and 94% of them landed by Judice were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Jeisla Chaves, she squared up with Yuneisy Duben and got a win for the night via split decision in round 3. Duben ended up landing 70% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Chaves ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Chaves ended up connecting on 64% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 64 of 99. She ended up connecting on 35 of 66 significant strikes to the head. Duben connected on 62 of 112 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 41 of 83 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Duben connected on 110 of 165 while Chaves was 92 of 136 of all the strikes she threw.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Shanelle Dyer opposes Elise Reed. Dyer comes into this fight with a record of 7-1-0. The 25-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Reed measures 5'3" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her career total of 8-5-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 63". When it comes to grappling, Shanelle Dyer is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes and Elise Reed takes her opponents to the canvas 0.46 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Dyer lands an average of 7.71 strikes per min and connects on 46% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Elise Reed, who is landing 53% of the strikes she has thrown and connects on 3.41 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Gregory Rodrigues is set to clash with Anthony Hernandez. Hernandez will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-3-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Rodrigues measures 6'3" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 19-6-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning wrestling, Anthony Hernandez deflects 68% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of his attempts. Rodrigues is taking his opponents down on 34% of his attempts and curbs 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Hernandez takes 3.10 strikes/minute while he is dealing 4.57 per min. Rodrigues, at the same time, takes 4.78 strikes/minute and lands 5.53 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Carli Judice (-525)
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