Ding Meng vs Jose Souza Pick, 05/30/2026 Predictions UFC Macau Odds

Ding Meng vs Jose Souza

UFC Macau

Galaxy Arena in Macau, China

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Ding Meng will battle Jose Souza at UFC Macau on Saturday, May 30, 2026. The opener has Meng at -120 while Souza is priced at +100.

Ding Meng looks to add a victory to his record of 35-9-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Jose "Canela" Souza comes in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old extends his reach 79". When talking about significant strikes, Ding Meng lands 3.40 per min while Jose Souza connects on 3.45 significant strikes per min. Meng connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Souza is landing 43%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Meng allows 3.87 significant strikes per minute and "Canela" takes 5.79. Meng also prevents 48% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Souza is able to stop 38% of them.

Regarding takedowns, Ding Meng is the more efficient wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.00 times per 3 rds. Meng is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and is stuffing 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Souza is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Meng is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.7 subs per 3 rounds while Souza attempts 0.3 subs per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Ding Meng squared up with Rami Hamed and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Hamed landed 63 of 120 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Meng ended the night having landed 74 of 125 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Hamed ended up landing 58 of 113, which gave him a rate of 51%. He finished the fight landing 25 of 66 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Meng landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 51 of 102. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 45 to the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Hamed and 88% of them connected on by Meng were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jose Souza, he faced off with Yusaku Kinoshita and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 3. Kinoshita ended up connecting on 87% of his significant strikes at distance and Souza connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Souza landed 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 37 of 85. He ended up connecting on 31 of 76 significant strikes directed at the head. Kinoshita ended up landing 62 of 101 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 56 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Kinoshita ended up landing 64 of 103 while Souza ended up landing 37 of 85 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Qileng Aori fights Cody Haddon. Aori will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 26-12-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Haddon comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 69". When it comes to grappling, Qileng Aori takes his opponents to the canvas 1.20 times per 15 minutes while Cody Haddon takes his opponents down 2.48 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Aori is connecting on 4.69 strikes/min and landing 49% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Cody Haddon, who tags his opponent on 51% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 9.20 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Luis Gurule is set to square up with Rei Tsuruya. Tsuruya comes into this fight with a record of 10-1-0. The 23-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Gurule stands in at 5'5" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-3-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 64". In terms of grappling, Rei Tsuruya is thwarting 50% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 37% of his attempts. Gurule is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries and is able to stop 59% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Tsuruya is taking 2.01 strikes per min and he is dishing out 2.24 per minute. Gurule, at the same time, absorbs 5.37 strikes/minute and is connecting on 5.70 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ding Meng (-120)

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