Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev
UFC 333
Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE
Saturday, October 24, 2026
Grant Dawson will face off with Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333 on Saturday, October 24, 2026. The line has Dawson priced at -120 while Aliev is priced at +103.
Grant "KGD" Dawson will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 24-3-1. The 32-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter stretches 72". Nurullo "Tajik Eagle" Aliev measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 12-0-0. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Grant Dawson connects on 3.14 per min and Nurullo Aliev connects on 2.29 significant strikes per minute. Dawson connects on 51% of the significant strikes he attempts while Aliev is landing 44%. Regarding defending in the cage, "KGD" takes 2.14 significant strikes per minute while "Tajik Eagle" takes 1.59. Dawson also thwarts 44% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Aliev defends against 55% of the shots thrown.
| UFC 333 | Grant Dawson | Nurullo Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -120 | +103 |
| Record | 24-3-1 | 12-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:00 | 12:55 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.14 | 2.29 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 44% |
Regarding grappling, Grant Dawson is the more productive grappler as he is able to score a takedown 3.58 times per 15 minutes. Dawson is getting his opponent to the mat on 39% of his attempts and is stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Aliev is finishing his takedown tries on 51% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 80% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Dawson is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 1.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Aliev looks to get 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet! NICK MENKEN has won 10 of 12 UFC plays and has piled up +5,150 in the octagon the last three months. He hit his top play last week and is 12-5, +5,275 this season on UFC picks rated 5.0+. Menken has a 7-Unit UFC Play (10:15 p.m.) as part of a three-fight card. Sign up below and don’t miss it! (ESPARZA has the same side.) You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our UFC Expert Picks
In his last bout, Grant Dawson fought Mateusz Rebecki and took home the victory by rear naked choke in round 3. Rebecki ended up landing 49 of 81 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Dawson ended the night having landed 71 of 136 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Rebecki ended up landing 33 of 64, which gave him a percentage of 51%. He ended up landing 27 of 56 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Dawson landed 37% of his significant strikes by sticking 35 of 94. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 19 of 67 aimed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Rebecki and 68% of them landed by Dawson were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Nurullo Aliev, he faced off with Mike Davis and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Davis ended up landing 40% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Aliev ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes at distance. Aliev landed 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 13 of 34. He ended up connecting on 12 of 30 significant strikes to the head. Davis landed 22 of 37 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 9 of 23 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Davis landed 55 of 71 while Aliev connected on 81 of 106 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Abubakar Vagaev encounters Jacob Malkoun. Vagaev steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 25-4-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Malkoun stands 5'9" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding grappling, Abubakar Vagaev takes his opponents down 4.00 times per 15 min and Jacob Malkoun gets a takedown 5.39 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Vagaev connects on 1.80 strikes/min and is connecting on 38% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Jacob Malkoun, who is connecting on 56% of the strikes that he throws and lands 4.23 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Daniel Santos is set to square up with Bolaji Oki. Oki looks to add a win to his total of 10-4-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Santos stands 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 14-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 67". Concerning wrestling, Bolaji Oki defends against 75% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 57% of his tries. Santos is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and stops 73% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Oki absorbs 5.12 strikes per min and he lands 6.42 per minute. Santos, in contrast, takes 5.38 strikes per min and is dealing 5.15 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (-120)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
- Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds