Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/22/2026

Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Ismael Bonfim will battle Axel Sola at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The moneyline has Bonfim priced at +170 while Sola is priced at -200.

Ismael "Marreta" Bonfim steps into the cage with a mark of 20-6-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Axel Sola measures 6'0" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 11-1-1. The 28-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding significant strikes, Ismael Bonfim lands 5.51 per min while Axel Sola connects on 4.07 significant strikes per minute. Bonfim is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he throws and Sola lands 45%. In terms of defending themselves, "Marreta" takes 3.71 significant strikes per minute and Sola allows 5.29. Bonfim also stops 65% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Sola deflects 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Ismael Bonfim predictions best bet odds

UFC Abu Dhabi	Ismael Bonfim	Axel Sola
Opening Odds	+170	-200
Record	20-6-0	11-1-1
Average Fight Time	9:26	13:31
Height	5'8"	6'0"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	71"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.51	4.07
Striking Accuracy	54%	45%

When it comes to wrestling, Ismael Bonfim is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 1.06 times per 3 rounds. Bonfim is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his attempts and is stuffing 76% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Sola is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing opponents, Bonfim is the more capable fighter by going for 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Sola tries 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Ismael Bonfim faced Chris Padilla and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Padilla landed 88 of 134 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Bonfim finished this fight landing 47 of 89 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Padilla ended up landing 64 of 109, which gave him a rate of 58%. He landed 33 of 60 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Bonfim landed 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 42 of 84. Of all the significant strikes, he was 27 of 68 pointed at the head. 67% of the significant strikes landed by Padilla and 100% of them connected on by Bonfim were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Axel Sola, he fought Mason Jones and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Jones connected on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Sola landed 93% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Sola ended up connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 65 of 135. He connected on 49 of 116 significant strikes directed at the head. Jones landed 110 of 236 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 76 of 193 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Jones landed 123 of 251 and Sola ended up landing 68 of 141 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Nurullo Aliev encounters Mike Davis. Aliev has a career mark of 11-0-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Davis stands 6'0" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". In terms of takedowns, Nurullo Aliev is able to score a takedown 2.12 times per 15 minutes while Mike Davis is able to score a takedown 2.40 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Aliev connects on 2.72 strikes/min and landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Mike Davis, who connects on 53% of the strikes that he throws and lands 4.73 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Bogdan Guskov is set to square up with Magomed Ankalaev. Ankalaev comes into this fight with a mark of 21-2-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Guskov measures 6'3" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-3-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 76". In terms of wrestling, Magomed Ankalaev is able to thwart 87% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 22% of his tries. Guskov is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts and deflects 57% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Ankalaev is absorbing 2.59 strikes per minute and he is landing 3.65 strikes per min. Guskov, moreover, takes 4.09 strikes/min and deals 4.57 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ismael Bonfim (+170)

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Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

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