JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin Pick, 09/12/2026 Predictions Noche UFC 4 Odds
JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin
Noche UFC 4
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 12, 2026
JJ Aldrich will take on Regina Tarin at Noche UFC 4 on Saturday, September 12, 2026. The opener has Aldrich at +252 while Tarin is priced at -310.
JJ Aldrich looks to add a victory to her total of 15-7-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Regina "Kill Bill" Tarin comes in at 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 8-0-0. The 21-year-old reaches 66". In terms of significant strikes, JJ Aldrich connects on 3.92 per min and Regina Tarin is landing 7.60 significant strikes per minute. Aldrich connects on 46% of the significant strikes she attempts and Tarin is landing 47%. When it comes to defending themselves, Aldrich allows 4.34 significant strikes per minute and "Kill Bill" allows 7.00. Aldrich also curbs 61% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Tarin stops 57% of the strikes thrown her way.
| Noche UFC 4 | JJ Aldrich | Regina Tarin |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +252 | -310 |
| Record | 15-7-0 | 8-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:51 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 66" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.92 | 7.60 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 47% |
Regarding wrestling, JJ Aldrich is the not as competent as a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. Aldrich is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times she tries and stopping 67% of all takedown attempts. Tarin is getting her opponent to the mat on 33% of her takedown tries and thwarting 50% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Aldrich is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Tarin tries 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In her previous bout, JJ Aldrich fought Jamey-Lyn Horth and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Horth ended up landing 73 of 233 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Aldrich ended the night having landed 52 of 154 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Horth landed 70 of 230, which gave her a percentage of 30%. She landed 28 of 158 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Aldrich ended up landing 33% of her significant strikes by connecting on 50 of 149. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she connected on 35 of 127 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Horth and 100% of them connected on by Aldrich were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Regina Tarin, she went up against Ernesta Kareckaite and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Kareckaite landed 83% of her significant strikes at distance while Tarin landed 79% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Tarin ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 114 of 239. She ended up connecting on 76 of 185 significant strikes directed at the head. Kareckaite landed 105 of 249 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up connecting on 79 of 212 to the head. Discussing total strikes that she let go in that contest, Kareckaite was 127 of 279 and Tarin connected on 125 of 250 total strikes.
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Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jean Silva opposes Jose Delgado. Silva looks to add a victory to his career record of 17-3-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Delgado stands in at 5'11" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 73". When it comes to grappling, Jean Silva scores a takedown 1.20 times per 15 minutes and Jose Delgado scores a takedown 1.37 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Silva tags his opponents 4.82 strikes/min and connects on 51% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Jose Delgado, who is landing 53% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 6.07 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Joseph Morales is set to enter the Octagon against Brandon Moreno. Moreno steps into the Octagon holding a record of 23-10-2. The 32-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Morales measures 5'6" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old stretches 69". In the category of takedowns, Brandon Moreno is able to curb 65% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 39% of his tries. Morales is taking his opponents down on 42% of his tries and defends against 26% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Moreno takes 3.64 strikes per minute while he is dealing 3.84 strikes per min. Morales, on the contrary, is absorbing 2.05 strikes per min and is landing 2.00 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Regina Tarin (-310)
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