Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/22/2026

Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Magomed Ankalaev will battle Bogdan Guskov at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The opener has Ankalaev coming in at -550 while Guskov is at +400.

Magomed Ankalaev comes into this fight with a mark of 21-2-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Bogdan "Hitman" Guskov measures 6'3" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-3-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 76". With respect to significant strikes, Magomed Ankalaev connects on 3.65 per minute and Bogdan Guskov lands 4.57 significant strikes per minute. Ankalaev is landing 52% of the significant strikes he throws while Guskov is connecting on 55%. In terms of defending themselves, Ankalaev absorbs 2.59 significant strikes per minute while "Hitman" allows 4.09. Ankalaev also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Guskov is able to thwart 44% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Magomed Ankalaev predictions best bet odds

UFC Abu Dhabi	Magomed Ankalaev	Bogdan Guskov
Opening Odds	-550	+400
Record	21-2-1 (1 NC)	18-3-1
Average Fight Time	11:49	7:15
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	75"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.65	4.57
Striking Accuracy	52%	55%

Concerning grappling, Magomed Ankalaev is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.79 times per 15 min. Ankalaev is scoring a takedown on 22% of the times he tries and stopping 87% of all takedown tries against him. Guskov is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 57% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Ankalaev is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes while Guskov looks to get 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Magomed Ankalaev went up against Alex Pereira and took a loss on the night by way of an elbow to the head in round 1. Pereira landed 28 of 45 total strikes that he let go. Ankalaev ended the night having landed 4 of 9 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Pereira ended up landing 28 of 45, which gave him a rate of 62%. He landed 21 of 35 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Ankalaev landed 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 4 of 9. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 0 of 4 aimed at the head. 17% of the significant strikes connected on by Pereira and 100% of them landed by Ankalaev were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Bogdan Guskov, he faced off with Jan Blachowicz and ended up in a draw by majority decision in round 3. Blachowicz landed 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Guskov ended up landing 65% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Guskov ended up connecting on 57% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 80 of 140. He landed 69 of 127 significant strikes to the head. Blachowicz ended up connecting on 84 of 149 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 56 of 112 aimed at the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Blachowicz ended up connecting on 100 of 173 and Guskov landed 98 of 160 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Steve Erceg squares up against Ramazan Temirov. Erceg has a record of 14-4-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Temirov comes in at 5'4" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 19-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 63". Regarding grappling, Steve Erceg gets his opposition to the mat 1.13 times per 3 rds and Ramazan Temirov is able to score a takedown 0.84 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Erceg tags his opponents 4.64 strikes per minute and is landing 47% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Ramazan Temirov, who tags the opposition on 40% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 4.37 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Wellington Turman is set to take on Islam Dulatov. Dulatov comes into this bout with a mark of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Turman comes in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 18-8-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of takedowns, Islam Dulatov is able to deflect 85% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 85% of his tries. Turman is finishing his takedown tries on 20% of his tries and thwarts 42% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Dulatov is absorbing 4.24 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 8.78 strikes per minute. Turman, in contrast, absorbs 4.17 strikes per minute and deals 3.23 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Magomed Ankalaev (-550)

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Pick:	Under 58.5
Start:	July 23, 2026 @ 9:10 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #688 Under 58.5 in Edmonton @ Saskatchewan (9p.m., Thursday, July 23 CBS Sports Network) Edmonton scored just 19 points last week and I see them struggling to light up the scoreboard on Thursday in the CFL as Week 8 gets underway at Mosaic Stadium. These are two of the best three teams in the CFL, and both teams have strong defenses, especially the Elks. Edmonton has allowed just 138 points in 6 games. Saskatchewan has allowed over 30 points per game, but they are coming off a bye and that will help them get some defensive players back for this game. Often times when good teams meet, the defensive’s dominate and we expect a low scoring game on Thursday. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in Soccer, UFC, CFL, and KBO. Read More Read Less

Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

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