Qileng Aori vs Kai Asakura Pick, 08/29/2026 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/23/2026

Qileng Aori vs Kai Asakura

UFC Shanghai

Shanghai Indoor Stadium in Shanghai

Saturday, August 29, 2026

Qileng Aori will battle Kai Asakura at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 29, 2026. The opener has Aori coming in at +350 while Asakura is at -450.

Qileng "The Mongolian Murderer" Aori will be looking to add a win to his career record of 26-13-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Kai Asakura measures 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 22-6-0. The 32-year-old stretches 69". When talking about significant strikes, Qileng Aori connects on 4.40 per min while Kai Asakura is landing 2.53 significant strikes per min. Aori is landing 49% of the significant strikes he tries while Asakura connects on 34%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Mongolian Murderer" absorbs 5.66 significant strikes per minute while Asakura absorbs 3.34. Aori also deflects 46% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Asakura is able to deflect 52% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Qileng Aori predictions best bet odds

UFC Shanghai	Qileng Aori	Kai Asakura
Opening Odds	+350	-450
Record	26-13-0 (1 NC)	22-6-0
Average Fight Time	9:29	6:11
Height	5'7"	5'8"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	69"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.40	2.53
Striking Accuracy	49%	34%

Regarding grappling, Qileng Aori is the more capable wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.11 times per 3 rds. Aori is getting his opponent to the mat on 46% of his tries and is stopping 59% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Asakura is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding subbing opponents, Aori is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Asakura looks to get 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Qileng Aori went up against Cody Haddon and wound up taking the loss via a knee to the body in round 2. Haddon landed 84 of 105 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Aori walked away from this fight having landed 12 of 17 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Haddon ended up landing 57 of 70, which gave him a rate of 81%. He ended up landing 46 of 59 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Aori ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by connecting on 6 of 11. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 9 to the head. 14% of the significant strikes landed by Haddon and 100% of them connected on by Aori were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kai Asakura, he battled Cameron Smotherman and wound up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Smotherman connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Asakura ended up connecting on 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Asakura ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 9 of 21. He ended up landing 6 of 17 significant strikes directed at the head. Smotherman ended up connecting on 3 of 7 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 6 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Smotherman ended up landing 3 of 7 while Asakura landed 9 of 21 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Namsrai Batbayar encounters Andre Lima. Batbayar will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-1-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Lima comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 11-1-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 67". In the grappling category, Namsrai Batbayar gets his opposition to the mat 2.85 times per 15 minutes and Andre Lima takes his opponents to the canvas 1.11 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Batbayar tags his opponents 4.44 strikes/min and connects on 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Andre Lima, who is landing 56% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 3.94 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Kevin Borjas is set to battle Rei Tsuruya. Tsuruya looks to add a win to his career total of 11-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Borjas stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 11-5-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In terms of grappling, Rei Tsuruya defends against 50% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his attempts. Borjas is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and defends against 72% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Tsuruya is absorbing 1.91 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 2.40 per min. Borjas, on the other hand, absorbs 5.27 strikes per min and is dishing out 3.87 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kai Asakura (-450)

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Qileng Aori vs Kai Asakura Pick, 08/29/2026 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds

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