Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 08/29/2026 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas
UFC Shanghai
Shanghai Indoor Stadium in Shanghai
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Rei Tsuruya will battle Kevin Borjas at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 29, 2026. The opening odds have Tsuruya coming in at -650 while Borjas is priced at +475.
Rei Tsuruya looks to add a win to his career total of 11-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Kevin "El Gallo Negro" Borjas stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 11-5-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 68". With respect to significant strikes, Rei Tsuruya lands 2.40 per minute and Kevin Borjas is connecting on 3.87 significant strikes per min. Tsuruya is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Borjas is landing 42%. When it comes to defending themselves, Tsuruya absorbs 1.91 significant strikes per minute while "El Gallo Negro" allows 5.27. Tsuruya also curbs 43% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Borjas stops 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Shanghai | Rei Tsuruya | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -650 | +475 |
| Record | 11-1-0 | 11-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:56 | 12:59 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.40 | 3.87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 53% | 42% |
When it comes to wrestling, Rei Tsuruya is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents down 5.03 times per 3 rounds. Tsuruya is scoring a takedown on 37% of his tries and stuffing 50% of all takedown tries against him. Borjas is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 72% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Tsuruya is the more apt fighter by attempting 2.0 finishes per 15 min while Borjas goes for 0.7 finishes per 15 min.
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The last time he fought, Rei Tsuruya faced Luis Gurule and wound up getting the win via rear naked choke in round 1. Gurule ended up landing 1 of 2 total strikes that he let go. Tsuruya walked away from this fight having landed 20 of 30 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Gurule ended up landing 1 of 2, giving him a percentage of 50%. He landed 0 of 0 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Tsuruya landed 62% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 17 of 27. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 17 of 26 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Gurule and 17% of them landed by Tsuruya were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Kevin Borjas, he faced off with Andre Lima and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Lima ended up connecting on 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Borjas ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Borjas landed 37% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 51 of 136. He landed 32 of 106 significant strikes to the head. Lima ended up connecting on 51 of 114 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 16 of 52 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Lima was 58 of 121 and Borjas connected on 52 of 137 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jack Jenkins meets Sean Woodson. Jenkins has a record of 14-4-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'7". The switch fighter extends his reach 68". Woodson measures 6'2" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 13-2-1. The 34-year-old stretches 78". In the grappling category, Jack Jenkins takes his opponents to the canvas 1.98 times per 15 min and Sean Woodson takes his opponents to the mat 0.58 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Jenkins is landing 4.48 strikes/min and lands 61% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Sean Woodson, who connects on 46% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 5.57 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Denise Gomes is set to square up in the Octagon with Yan Xiaonan. Xiaonan has a mark of 19-5-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Gomes stands in at 5'2" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 12-3-0. The 26-year-old reaches 63". Concerning wrestling, Yan Xiaonan stops 64% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 73% of the times she tries. Gomes is taking her opponents to the mat on 34% of the attempts she tries and is able to curb 66% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Xiaonan is absorbing 3.23 strikes/min while she is landing 4.69 strikes/minute. Gomes, in contrast, is absorbing 3.16 strikes/minute and dishes out 4.43 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kevin Borjas (+475)
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