Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira Pick, 05/30/2026 Predictions UFC Macau Odds
Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira
UFC Macau
Galaxy Arena in Macau, China
Saturday, May 30, 2026
Sergei Pavlovich will take on Tallison Teixeira at UFC Macau on Saturday, May 30, 2026. The opener has Pavlovich priced at -600 while Teixeira is at +425.
Sergei Pavlovich steps into the Octagon with a record of 20-3-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 257 lbs and measures 6'3". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 84". Tallison "Xicao" Teixeira stands in at 6'7" and steps on the scale at 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 83". When talking about significant strikes, Sergei Pavlovich is connecting on 4.43 per minute while Tallison Teixeira lands 5.02 significant strikes per min. Pavlovich is landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Teixeira connects on 64%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Pavlovich takes 3.62 significant strikes per minute while "Xicao" takes 3.86. Pavlovich also thwarts 55% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Teixeira prevents 42% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Macau | Sergei Pavlovich | Tallison Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -600 | +425 |
| Record | 20-3-0 | 9-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 5:42 | 4:32 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'7" |
| Weight | 257 lbs | 258 lbs |
| Reach | 84" | 83" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.43 | 5.02 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 64% |
Concerning wrestling, Sergei Pavlovich is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.48 times per 15 min. Pavlovich is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his tries and thwarting 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Teixeira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 15% of the tries against him. Regarding submission attempts, Pavlovich is the more skilled technician by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds while Teixeira looks to get 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Sergei Pavlovich fought Waldo Cortes Acosta and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Acosta ended up landing 45 of 117 total strikes attempted in that fight. Pavlovich walked away from this fight having landed 63 of 136 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Acosta landed 45 of 117, which gave him a rate of 38%. He ended up landing 27 of 88 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Pavlovich landed 45% of his significant strikes by landing 61 of 133. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 35 of 104 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Acosta and 98% of them landed by Pavlovich were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Tallison Teixeira, he fought Tai Tuivasa and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Tuivasa landed 64% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Teixeira connected on 50% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Teixeira ended up connecting on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 51 of 74. He landed 39 of 60 significant strikes to the head. Tuivasa ended up connecting on 42 of 58 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 21 of 36 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Tuivasa was 56 of 74 and Teixeira ended up connecting on 117 of 144 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Kai Asakura enters the Octagon against Cameron Smotherman. Asakura will be looking to add a victory to his total of 21-6-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Smotherman stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-6-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of takedowns, Kai Asakura takes his opponents to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rds while Cameron Smotherman takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Asakura lands 2.27 strikes per min and connecting on 32% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Cameron Smotherman, who tags the opposition on 37% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 4.07 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Carlston Harris is set to face off with Jake Matthews. Matthews walks into the Octagon holding a record of 22-8-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Harris measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 19-7-0. The 38-year-old has a reach of 76". Regarding wrestling, Jake Matthews is able to stop 64% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of his attempts. Harris is finishing his takedowns on 22% of his attempts and is able to defend against 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Matthews is taking 2.62 strikes per minute and he connects on 3.34 strikes per minute. Harris, on the contrary, takes 3.46 strikes per minute and connects on 3.79 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sergei Pavlovich (-600)
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