Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez Pick, 09/12/2026 Predictions Noche UFC 4 Odds
Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez
Noche UFC 4
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Tim Elliott will enter the Octagon with Edgar Chairez at Noche UFC 4 on Saturday, September 12, 2026. The opener has Elliott coming in at +180 while Chairez is at -210.
Tim Elliott looks to add a win to his record of 22-14-1. The 39-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 66". Edgar "Puro Chicali" Chairez measures in at 5'7" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-6-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has an arm span of 71". In the category of significant strikes, Tim Elliott connects on 3.51 per minute while Edgar Chairez lands 3.76 significant strikes per min. Elliott is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he throws and Chairez connects on 46%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Elliott allows 3.00 significant strikes per minute while "Puro Chicali" absorbs 4.71. Elliott also deflects 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Chairez is able to deflect 46% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| Noche UFC 4 | Tim Elliott | Edgar Chairez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +180 | -210 |
| Record | 22-14-1 | 14-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 12:16 | 9:06 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.51 | 3.76 |
| Striking Accuracy | 43% | 46% |
In terms of grappling, Tim Elliott is the more productive grappler as he takes his opponents down 3.61 times per 3 rds. Elliott is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his attempts and is stopping 59% of all takedown attempts. Chairez is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 47% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Elliott is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Chairez attempts 1.4 submissions per 15 min.
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In his previous fight, Tim Elliott went up against Steve Erceg and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Erceg landed 136 of 254 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Elliott finished this fight landing 93 of 265 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Erceg landed 136 of 254, which gave him a percentage of 53%. He finished the fight landing 122 of 236 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Elliott ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes by connecting on 90 of 261. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 44 of 191 aimed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Erceg and 96% of them connected on by Elliott were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Edgar Chairez, he went up against Bruno Silva and wound up taking home the win by rear naked choke in round 1. Silva landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Chairez ended up landing 87% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Chairez landed 54% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 24 of 44. He connected on 20 of 37 significant strikes aimed at the head. Silva connected on 17 of 29 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 11 of 22 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Silva connected on 17 of 29 and Chairez was 24 of 44 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ignacio Bahamondes faces off against Muslim Salikhov. Bahamondes comes into this fight with a mark of 17-7-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Salikhov stands 5'11" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 22-6-0. The 42-year-old has an arm span of 70". When it comes to grappling, Ignacio Bahamondes gets his opposition to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rds and Muslim Salikhov is averaging a takedown 1.07 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Bahamondes connects for an average of 5.99 strikes/min and is connecting on 46% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Muslim Salikhov, who is landing 49% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.37 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Djorden Santos is set to face off against Yousri Belgaroui. Belgaroui comes into this fight with a mark of 10-3-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Santos measures in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". In terms of grappling, Yousri Belgaroui stops 66% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 80% of his attempts. Santos is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of the tries he takes and deflects 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Belgaroui takes 2.17 strikes per min while he connects on 6.10 per min. Santos, on the other hand, takes 6.35 strikes per min and is dishing out 6.64 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Edgar Chairez (-210)
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