Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/22/2026

Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Valter Walker will battle Thomas Petersen at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The opening moneyline has Walker at -180 while Petersen is at +155.

Valter "The Clean Monster" Walker steps into the cage holding a record of 15-1-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 244 lbs and stands 6'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Thomas "The Train" Petersen measures 6'1" and weighs in at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 11-4-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 74". In the category of significant strikes, Valter Walker is landing 2.00 per minute while Thomas Petersen is landing 3.10 significant strikes per minute. Walker lands 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Petersen is connecting on 59%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Clean Monster" allows 2.85 significant strikes per minute while "The Train" allows 2.61. Walker also thwarts 42% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Petersen is able to defend against 54% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Valter Walker predictions best bet odds

UFC Abu Dhabi	Valter Walker	Thomas Petersen
Opening Odds	-180	+155
Record	15-1-0	11-4-0
Average Fight Time	4:42	11:24
Height	6'6"	6'1"
Weight	244 lbs	250 lbs
Reach	78"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.00	3.10
Striking Accuracy	52%	59%

In terms of grappling, Valter Walker is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents down 5.74 times per 3 rds. Walker is scoring a takedown on 69% of his attempts and is stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Petersen is finishing his takedown tries on 43% of his takedown tries and is defending 87% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Walker is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 2.5 subs per 3 rds while Petersen goes for 0.4 subs per 15 min.

Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!

NICK MENKEN has won 10 of 12 UFC plays and has piled up +5,150 in the octagon the last three months. He hit his top play last week and is 12-5, +5,275 this season on UFC picks rated 5.0+. Menken has a 7-Unit UFC Play (10:15 p.m.) as part of a three-fight card. Sign up below and don’t miss it! (ESPARZA has the same side.)

You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!

Get all of our UFC Picks

In his last bout, Valter Walker went up against Louie Sutherland and wound up taking home the victory by way of a heel hook in round 1. Sutherland ended up landing 3 of 5 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Walker finished this fight landing 7 of 7 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Sutherland landed 3 of 5, which gave him a percentage of 60%. He finished the fight landing 1 of 1 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Walker ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes by landing 5 of 5. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 0 of 0 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Sutherland and 100% of them connected on by Walker were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Thomas Petersen, he faced off with Guilherme Pat and ended up getting the win by majority decision in round 3. Pat connected on 94% of his significant strikes at distance and Petersen landed 35% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Petersen connected on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 28 of 41. He ended up connecting on 22 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pat landed 17 of 31 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 9 of 22 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Pat connected on 25 of 42 and Petersen ended up connecting on 164 of 199 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Santiago Ponzinibbio takes on Sam Patterson. Ponzinibbio steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 31-9-0. The 39-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Patterson stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 14-3-1. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In the grappling category, Santiago Ponzinibbio scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds and Sam Patterson gets a takedown 0.82 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Ponzinibbio is landing 4.78 strikes/min and connects on 41% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Sam Patterson, who tags the opposition on 37% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 2.62 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Axel Sola is set to face off against Ismael Bonfim. Bonfim steps into the cage with a mark of 20-6-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Sola measures 6'0" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 11-1-1. The 28-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding wrestling, Ismael Bonfim is able to curb 76% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of the times he tries. Sola is taking his opponents down on 36% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Bonfim is taking 3.71 strikes/minute while he is dealing 5.51 strikes/minute. Sola, in contrast, is taking 5.29 strikes per minute and is dealing 4.07 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Valter Walker (-180)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	July 23, 2026 @ 11:45 PM
Expert:	Griffin Murphy
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks