Xiong Jingnan vs Julia Polastri Pick, 08/29/2026 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
Xiong Jingnan vs Julia Polastri
UFC Shanghai
Shanghai Indoor Stadium in Shanghai
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Xiong Jingnan will enter the Octagon with Julia Polastri at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 29, 2026. The line has Jingnan priced at +210 while Polastri is coming in at -250.
Xiong "The Panda" Jingnan steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-3-0. The 38-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The switch fighter reaches 63". Julia "Psycho" Polastri measures in at 5'2" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-6-0. The 28-year-old stretches 63". In terms of significant strikes, Xiong Jingnan lands 4.53 per minute and Julia Polastri lands 6.22 significant strikes per min. Jingnan connects on 34% of the significant strikes she tries and Polastri is landing 56%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Panda" allows 8.13 significant strikes per minute while "Psycho" allows 5.18. Jingnan also stops 38% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Polastri prevents 59% of the shots thrown in her direction.
| UFC Shanghai | Xiong Jingnan | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +210 | -250 |
| Record | 19-3-0 | 14-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 13:52 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'2" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 63" | 63" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.53 | 6.22 |
| Striking Accuracy | 34% | 56% |
When it comes to grappling, Xiong Jingnan is not as efficient of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. Jingnan is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times she tries and stuffing 75% of all takedown attempts. Polastri is getting her opponent to the mat on 80% of the takedowns she attempts and is stopping 57% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Jingnan is the more able fighter by trying 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Polastri attempts 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.
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In her previous bout, Xiong Jingnan squared up with Angela Hill and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hill landed 136 of 212 total strikes attempted in that fight. Jingnan ended the night having landed 91 of 224 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Hill ended up landing 122 of 197, which gave her a rate of 61%. She landed 77 of 145 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Jingnan ended up landing 34% of her significant strikes by landing 68 of 198. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she was 33 of 146 to the head. 77% of the significant strikes connected on by Hill and 85% of them landed by Jingnan were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Julia Polastri, she went up against Talita Alencar and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Alencar ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Polastri connected on 92% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Polastri ended up connecting on 70% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 78 of 111. She connected on 48 of 78 significant strikes to the head. Alencar ended up landing 60 of 195 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 34 of 151 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Alencar ended up connecting on 80 of 216 and Polastri ended up landing 87 of 125 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other bouts to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Umar Nurmagomedov faces off against Song Yadong. Nurmagomedov will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 20-1-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Yadong measures in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 23-9-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old stretches 67". In the wrestling category, Umar Nurmagomedov scores a takedown 4.03 times per 15 minutes and Song Yadong gets a takedown 0.82 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Nurmagomedov lands 3.86 strikes per min and is connecting on 56% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Song Yadong, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 4.34 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kai Asakura is set to face off against Qileng Aori. Aori will be looking to add a win to his career record of 26-13-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Asakura measures 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 22-6-0. The 32-year-old stretches 69". In terms of wrestling, Qileng Aori is able to thwart 59% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of the times he tries. Asakura is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries and is able to thwart 50% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Aori absorbs 5.66 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 4.40 strikes/min. Asakura, on the other side, takes 3.34 strikes/min and is dishing out 2.53 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Julia Polastri (-250)
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