Sun vs Mystics Game 5 Picks & Predictions 10/10/2019
Thursday, October 9, 2019
Entertainment and Sports Arena
Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.
Jasmine Thomas and the Connecticut Sun (23-11, 2nd in the Eastern Conference) are headed to Entertainment and Sports Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Washington Mystics (26-8, 1st in the Eastern Conference) in a winner take all Game 5 of the WNBA Finals. The Sun tied the series at 2-2 with a 90-86 win in Game 4. Jonquel Jones led Connecticut with 18 points, 13 boards, and 3 dimes while the Mystics were led by Natasha Cloud with 13 points, 7 rebounds, and 9 assists.
The Sun have been an average bet for basketball wagerers, having gone 20-20 ATS. The Mystics cover the spread 55.0% of the time, going 22-18 against the spread.
Valuable Connecticut Sun Betting Trends
The Sun have been a less than ideal Under choice for over/under WNBA wagerers, having gone 21-20.
Connecticut is covering the spread 36.8% of the time as the road team, having gone 7-12 ATS.
Important Washington Mystics Betting Trends
Washington is covering the spread 65.0% of the time at Entertainment and Sports Arena, going 13-7 against the spread.
The Mystics have been a very good Over choice for over/under WNBA wagerers, having gone 26-15.
Key Connecticut Sun Injuries
09/29/19 G Layshia Clarendon Ankle is questionable Tuesday vs Wash Mystics
Key Washington Mystics Injuries
05/30/19 G Kiara Leslie Knee is out indefinitely
Jasmine Thomas comes into this game averaging 11.1 points per contest while being on the court 29.7 minutes per night so far this year for the Sun. She grabs 2.9 rebounds per contest and hands out 5.1 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 39% while her free throw percentage is currently at 80%. Courtney Williams averages 13.2 points per game in 29.1 minutes per contest this season. She averages 3.8 assists per contest and 5.6 rebounds per game for Connecticut. Her field goal percentage is 44% for the year while her free throw percentage is 80%.
Kristi Toliver averages 13.0 points per game while playing 29.5 minutes per contest this year for the Mystics. She grabs 2.9 rebounds per game and has 5.9 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 49% and her free throw percentage currently is at 86%. Elena Delle Donne averages 19.5 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 29.1 minutes per contest. She also averages 8.2 rebounds per contest and 2.2 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 52% and her free throw percentage is 97%.
Useful Team Statistics
Connecticut averages 80.8 points per game this season, which ranks them 4th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 2.9 and their shooting percentage is 42% as a team, which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 3rd in the WNBA. They average 36.8 rebounds per contest and 19.2 assists per game, which ranks them 2nd and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 13.2 per game. The Sun allow 77.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 11th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 33.3 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 19.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 10th place in the league. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in the league.
Useful Team Statistics
Washington is 1st in the league with 89.3 points per game this year. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 12.0. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the WNBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 33.3 boards per game, and 1st in assists per contest with 21.9. The Mystics are 12th in turnovers per game with 10.9. The Mystics surrender 77.3 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 18.2 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 32.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mystics are 8th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per game this season.
The Sun are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 98.7, and their offensive rating of 102.4 is ranked 9th. They are 4th in the WNBA in pace with 78.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 5th. As a unit they are 8th in the league in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the WNBA. Connecticut is 11th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 3rd in the WNBA.
Washington is 12th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 48%, which is 5th in the WNBA. The Mystics are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 100.3, and their offensive rating of 115.9 is ranked 7th. They are 8th in the WNBA in pace with 76.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the WNBA.
Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Washington
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