Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 10/6/2021 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury
Date: Wednesday, October 6, 2021
Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ
Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (-1.5)
The Phoenix Mercury (19-13) host the Las Vegas Aces (24-8) at Footprint Center on Wednesday in Game 4 of their series. The Mercury lead 2-1. Las Vegas opens this contest as 1.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 171.5.
The Aces ended up losing by a score of 87-60 in Game 3. Las Vegas ended having earned a 30.9% field goal percentage (21 out of 68) and converted 2 of 14 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the free throw line, the Aces converted 16 of 22 attempts for a rate of 72.7%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they earned 29 with 3 of them being offensive. They also doled out 12 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Pertaining to defending, Las Vegas allowed the other team to go 44.3% from the field on 35 of 79 shooting. Phoenix distributed 13 dimes and had 4 steals for this contest. In addition, Phoenix grabbed 58 rebounds (13 offensive, 45 defensive) and added 6 rejections. Phoenix ended up going 84.6% at the charity stripe by making 11 of 13 attempts. They also converted 6 out of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter.
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A'ja Wilson is a player who was a contributor in this contest. She scored 8 points on 2 of 14 shooting. She played for 30:08 mins and snagged 6 boards. Wilson finished the contest at 14.3% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist. One more player that was a factor in this contest for the Aces was Chelsea Gray. She snagged 4 rebounds in 27:21 minutes on the court. She finished the contest at 22.2% from the floor in this matchup by connecting on 2-of-9 (6 points). At the conclusion of this game, Gray collected 1 assist.
Las Vegas will play this game with a mark of 24-8 for the season. They are turning it over 11.6 times per game and as a team are committing 14.2 fouls per game. As a team, Las Vegas is pulling in 38.6 boards per game and is sitting with 667 assists this year, which ranks 3rd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. The Aces are shooting 37.5% from downtown (162 of 432) and 81.9% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 89.3 pts per game (1st in the league) while connecting on 47.2% from the field. When they are on defense, the Aces are forcing 11.4 turnovers per game and they draw 18.8 fouls. The Aces defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 41.5% (365 of 603) and they surrender 34.9 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 7th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 622 conceded on the campaign. They are conceding 30.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 5th in basketball in PPG allowed (80.2).
In their Game 3 win, the Mercury were able to pull down 45 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 58 for the matchup. They coughed up the ball 12 times, while getting 4 steals for this contest. The Aces had 16 fouls in this matchup which took the Mercury to the charity stripe for a total of 13 shots. They were able to knock down 11 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 84.6%. In regard to shots from 3-point land, Phoenix knocked down 6 out of 21 tries (28.6%). When all was said and done, the Mercury ended up going 35 for 79 from the floor which had them shooting 44.3%. The Mercury allowed the Aces to bury 21 out of 68 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 30.9% for this game. They finished 14.3% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 2 out of 14 and ended up shooting 16 out of 22 from the charity stripe (72.7%). Regarding team rebounding, Phoenix permitted Las Vegas to get 29 overall (3 offensive).
Skylar Diggins-Smith was important for the Mercury for the game. She made 2 out of 12 in this matchup giving her a field goal percentage of 16.7%, and had 5 rebounds. Diggins-Smith had 5 points in her 33:49 mins on the hardwood and had 9 dimes for this game. Another player who was a determining factor for Phoenix was Brianna Turner. She walked away with no assists in her 30:48 mins played, and she shot 9 of 14 from the field. Turner wrapped this one up going 64.3% from the floor and also earning 23 points and 17 rebounds.
Phoenix has a mark of 19-13 this season. The Mercury commit 16.3 personal fouls per contest and they hit 79.8% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 19.7 times per game (5th in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 12.8 times per contest. Phoenix has totaled 2,626 points this year (82.1 per game) and they grab 36.2 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mercury are shooting 45.0% from the floor, which is 4th in the league. The Mercury are ranked 4th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 79.5. They are able to force 10.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.7% from the floor (3rd in the league). The Phoenix defense allows 32.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (227 of 705) and opponents are making 81.3% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 17.1 assists and 34.9 boards per game, which is 3rd and 5th in the WNBA.
Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (+1.5)
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