Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 7/23/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury
Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ
TV: Youtube TV
Footprint Center is the site where and the Phoenix Mercury (15-7) will play the Atlanta Dream (13-9) on Wednesday.
The Atlanta Dream faced the Chicago Sky and walked away with a win by a score of 86-49 in their last game. Atlanta finished the contest having earned a 47.0% FG percentage (31 out of 66) and buried 9 of their 27 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Dream buried 15 of 20 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 42 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 26 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and getting 5 steals. With respect to defending, Atlanta let their opponent shoot 25.4% from the field on 18 out of 71 shooting. Chicago dished out 9 assists and had 5 steals for the contest. In addition, Chicago collected 33 rebounds (9 offensive, 24 defensive) and earned 7 blocks. Chicago walked away from this one shooting 75.0% at the charity stripe by burying 6 of their 8 attempts. They also buried 7 of their 20 attempts from three-point range.

Brittney Griner is one player who was a major contributor for this game. She left the arena with 15 points on 6 out of 8 shooting. She saw the court for 20 mins and snagged 5 rebounds. Griner finished the game shooting 75.0% from the field but didn't record a dime.
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Atlanta enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 13-9 on the campaign. The Dream are shooting 32.3% on 3-point shots (205 of 634) and 75.7% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 83.8 points per game (4th in the league) while hitting 43.0% from the field. They lose possession via turnover 11.8 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 17.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Atlanta is grabbing 37.5 rebounds per contest and has 461 assists on the year, which has them ranked 5th in the league in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Dream are able to force 11.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.7 fouls. They give up 32.8% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 4th in the league in opponents points per game (78.3). The Dream are giving up a FG percentage of 42.4% (259 of 411) and they relinquish 32.9 rebounds per contest as a squad. They currently rank 2nd in the WNBA in giving up assists with 414 surrendered so far this year.
For their last game, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a final score of 79-66 against the Minnesota Lynx. The Mercury were able to collect 30 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 39 for this game. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 7 steals for this game. The Lynx were called for 15 fouls for the matchup which took the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 15 shots. They were able to knock down 9 of those for a clip of 60.0%. With respect to shots from 3-point land, Phoenix made 7 of 26 tries (26.9%). When all was said and done, the Mercury walked away from this one shooting 25 out of 70 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 35.7%. The Mercury allowed the Lynx to make 29 of their 68 tries from the field which had them at 42.6% in this matchup. They finished shooting 43.5% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 10 of 23 and ended up going 11 out of 14 at the charity stripe (78.6%). In reference to cleaning up the glass, Phoenix permitted Minnesota to pull down 44 overall (7 on the offensive glass).
Alyssa Thomas ended up having an impact for the Mercury for this contest. She converted 5 of 16 in the game for a rate of 31.3%, and had 5 rebounds. Thomas totaled 12 points in her 32 mins on the hardwood and had 9 dimes for this contest.
Phoenix has a record of 15-7 on the year. As an offense, the Mercury are shooting 43.3% from the floor, which is ranked 6th in the league. Phoenix has accounted for 1,835 points this season (83.4 per game) and they grab 34.4 boards per game. They are earning an assist 21.0 times per game (3rd in the league) and they turn it over 12.6 times per contest. The Mercury are responsible for committing 18.8 fouls per contest and they connect on 77.6% from the charity stripe. The Mercury on the defensive side of the court are 6th in the league in points given up per game with 79.3. They are forcing 15.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.2% from the floor (4th in the league). The Phoenix defense surrenders 33.2% from downtown (178 of 536) and their opponents are converting on 81.6% of their free throw shots. They surrender 19.5 dimes and 35.4 total boards per game, which is 7th and 10th in the league.
Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta
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Additional Resources:
Phoenix Mercury - Twitter
Atlanta Dream - Twitter