Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/28/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (23-14) host the Chicago Sky (9-28) at Footprint Center on Thursday.

The Chicago Sky faced off with the Las Vegas Aces and took a loss by a score of 79-74 in their last contest. Chicago walked away from the game having earned a 38.5% FG percentage (25 out of 65) and converted 5 out of their 18 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Sky made 19 of 23 shots for a rate of 82.6%. When it comes to getting rebounds, they collected 42 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 20 assists in this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When discussing defense, Chicago let their opponent shoot 44.8% from the field on 30 out of 67 shooting. Las Vegas totaled 4 dimes and had 9 steals for the game. In addition, Las Vegas snagged 24 rebounds (4 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 8 rejections. Las Vegas walked away from this one shooting 80.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 8 of 10 attempts. They also buried 11 of their 23 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Ariel Atkins is a player who played a role in the game. She ended up scoring 30 points on 10 of 18 shooting. She was on the court for 34 mins played and totaled 4 boards. Atkins walked away from this one shooting 55.6% from the field and also distributed 7 assists.

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Chicago comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 9-28 this year. They currently have an average of 75.9 points per game (12th in the league) on 42.2% from the floor. The Sky are hitting 32.9% on 3-point shots (251 of 763) and 76.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Chicago is collecting 35.9 boards per game and has accounted for 714 assists for the season, which is 11th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 15.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 18.1 personal fouls per contest. On the defensive end, the Sky have forced 11.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.5 personal fouls. They give up 37.1% on 3-point attempts while they are 11th in basketball in PPG allowed (86.2). The Sky defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 45.1% (413 of 612) and they relinquish 33.2 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 9th in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 789 surrendered on the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury got the win with a final of 92-84 when they played the Los Angeles Sparks. The Mercury were able to snag 25 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 32 in the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while getting 11 steals for this contest. The Sparks were called for 18 fouls for this game which got the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 18 shots. They were able to convert 15 of those for a percentage of 83.3%. In regard to shots from beyond the arc, Phoenix buried 11 out of their 25 tries (44.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Mercury ended up shooting 33 out of 69 from the field which had them at 47.8%. The Mercury allowed the Sparks to bury 31 of 65 tries from the field which had them shooting 47.7% in the game. They finished 29.2% from three-point range by going 7 of 24 and finished the game at 15 of 17 from the free throw line (88.2%). With respect to cleaning the glass, Phoenix permitted Los Angeles to grab 29 in all (5 offensive).

Satou Sabally ended up being important for the Mercury for this game. She buried 5 out of 10 for this contest giving her a rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 3 rebounds. Sabally earned 19 points in her 34 mins on the court and had 2 assists in this matchup.

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 23-14 for the campaign. The Mercury are committing 18.1 fouls per game while shooting 79.1% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 20.8 times per contest (6th in the WNBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per contest. Phoenix has earned 3,077 pts for the year (83.2 per contest) and they average 34.8 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Mercury are shooting 43.4% from the field, which is ranked 8th in basketball. The Mercury on the defensive end are ranked 4th in the league in points per game surrendered with 80.1. They have relinquished 19.6 dimes and 34.9 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 6th and 9th in the WNBA. The Phoenix defense concedes 31.9% on shots from distance (294 of 921) and their opponents are knocking down 81.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 14.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.5% from the field (4th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago

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