Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 9/18/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Thursday, September 18, 2025

Location: Gateway Center Arena in College Park, GA

TV: ESPN2

The Atlanta Dream (30-14) play the Indiana Fever (24-20) at Gateway Center Arena on Thursday in Game 3 of their first round series. The series is tied 1-1. Atlanta opens as 7.5 point favorites while the total is set at 154.5.

The Indiana Fever walked away with a win by a score of 77-60 in Game 2. Indiana finished having earned a 42.9% field goal percentage (27 of 63) and made 8 out of their 19 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Fever converted 15 of their 15 shots for a percentage of 100.0%. When talking about rebounding, they collected a total of 32 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 15 assists in this game while forcing 13 turnovers and having 7 steals. When talking about defending, Indiana allowed their opponent to shoot 37.9% from the field on 25 of 66 shooting. Atlanta doled out 12 dimes and had 10 steals for the game. Additionally, Atlanta grabbed 36 boards (12 offensive, 24 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. Atlanta shot 50.0% from the charity stripe by converting 5 of 10 attempts. They converted 5 of 19 attempts from beyond the arc.

Kelsey Mitchell is a player who came through for the matchup. She ended up scoring 19 points on 6 out of 13 shooting. She played for 29 mins but finished the game without a rebound. Mitchell finished the contest at 46.2% from the floor and totaled 4 assists.

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Indiana enters this contest with a record of 24-20 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 12.8 times per game and as a squad they are committing 18.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Indiana is grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 906 assists this year, which has them ranked 7th in the WNBA in terms of passing. The Fever are connecting on 34.6% on 3-point shots (365 of 1,056) and 77.0% from the charity stripe. They average 84.9 points per game (3rd in basketball) while going 45.6% from the field. Defensively, the Fever are forcing 14.1 turnovers per game while drawing 19.0 personal fouls. They are giving up 32.9% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 8th in basketball in points per game allowed (81.5). The Fever are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 44.9% (621 of 838) and they surrender 32.7 boards per contest as a group. They currently rank 4th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 852 surrendered this season.

In Game 2, the Dream were able to corral 24 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 in this matchup. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while earning 7 steals for this game. The Fever committed 14 fouls for the contest which took the Dream to the free throw line for 10 tries. They were able to bury 5 of those for a percentage of 50.0%. Regarding shots from downtown, Atlanta knocked down 5 of their 19 attempts (26.3%). When the game finished, the Dream shot 25 out of 66 from the floor which had them shooting 37.9%. The Dream allowed the Fever to convert 27 out of 63 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.9% in the game. They shot 42.1% from three-point range by going 8 out of 19 and ended up shooting 15 out of 15 at the charity stripe (100.0%). In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Atlanta allowed Indiana to get 32 in total (9 on the offensive glass).

Te-Hina PaoPao pitched in for the Dream in the matchup. She knocked down 4 out of 6 in the game for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and accumulated 1 rebound. PaoPao accumulated 11 points in her 14 minutes on the hardwood, but wasn't able to earn an assist.

Atlanta has a mark of 30-14 this season. The Dream are committing 15.8 fouls per contest and they hit 78.6% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 21.4 times per game (3rd in the league) and they turn it over 11.2 times per contest. Atlanta has accounted for 3,712 points this season (84.4 per game) and they pull in 36.6 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Dream are hitting on 44.3% from the field, which is 6th in basketball. The Dream defensively are ranked 3rd in basketball in points given up per game with 76.8. The Atlanta defense concedes 32.1% on shots from distance (290 of 903) and their opponents are converting on 77.5% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 18.8 dimes and 31.4 total boards per game, which ranks them 2nd and 1st in the league. They have forced 11.5 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.9% from the floor (5th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Indiana (+7.5)

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