Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/23/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN

The Las Vegas Aces (30-14) play the Indiana Fever (24-20) at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday in Game 2 of the WNBA Semifinals. Vegas opens as 8.5 point favorites while the total is set at 164.5..

The Indiana Fever notched a win by a score of 89-73 in Game 1. Indiana wrapped up the game having earned a 50.0% field goal percentage (34 of 68) and converted 5 out of their 16 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Fever converted 16 of their 17 tries for a percentage of 94.1%. Concerning rebounding, they earned 34 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 24 assists for this game while creating 13 turnovers and having 7 steals. When discussing defending, Indiana allowed the other team to shoot 40.8% from the floor on 29 out of 71 shooting. Las Vegas earned 7 dimes and had 3 steals for the contest. Moreover, Las Vegas totaled 39 rebounds (7 offensive, 32 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Las Vegas finished the contest at 83.3% at the charity stripe by burying 10 of 12 shots. They made 5 out of their 17 shots from 3-point range.

Kelsey Mitchell is one player who was a contributor in this game. She left the arena with 34 points on 12 out of 23 shooting. She played 34 mins played and snagged 1 board. Mitchell ended up shooting 52.2% from the field and also totaled 3 dimes.

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Indiana enters this game with a record of 24-20 on the campaign. The Fever are connecting on 34.6% on shots from distance (365 of 1,056) and 77.0% from the free throw line. They are averaging 84.9 pts per game (3rd in the league) while shooting 45.6% from the field. They are giving up possession 12.8 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.6 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Indiana is pulling down 33.4 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 906 dimes so far this season, which ranks 7th in basketball in terms of passing. Defensively, the Fever are able to force 14.1 turnovers per game while drawing 19.0 personal fouls. They give up 32.9% from 3-point land and they rank 8th in the league in PPG allowed (81.5). The Fever defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 44.9% (621 of 838) and they concede 32.7 boards per game as a basketball team. They are 4th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 852 relinquished on the year.

In Game 1, the Aces were able to snag 25 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 33 for this game. They turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 5 steals in the game. The Fever had 12 personal fouls in this game which got the Aces to the free throw line for a total of 12 shots. They were able to knock down 10 of the free throws for a percentage of 83.3%. With respect to 3-point shots, Las Vegas converted 5 of their 17 attempts (29.4%). In all, the Aces shot 29 for 71 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 40.8%. The Aces allowed the Fever to convert 34 of 68 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 50.0% for the game. They went 31.3% from distance by going 5 of 16 and finished the contest at 16 out of 17 at the charity stripe (94.1%). In regard to rebounding, Las Vegas allowed Indiana to pull down 35 overall (5 on the offensive glass).

Jackie Young ended up being important for the Aces in this matchup. She buried 9 out of 16 for the contest giving her a rate of 56.3%, and tallied 7 rebounds. Young totaled 19 points in her 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes for this contest.

Las Vegas has a win-loss mark of 30-14 so far this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Aces are shooting 43.9% from the field, which is 8th in the league. Las Vegas has accumulated 3,680 pts on the year (83.6 per game) and they grab 33.5 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 19.6 times per contest (9th in basketball) and they turn it over 11.9 times per game. The Aces are responsible for committing 16.6 fouls per contest and they go 82.4% from the free throw line. The Aces are ranked 7th in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 80.7. They have surrendered 20.4 assists and 35.0 boards per contest, which is ranked 9th and 9th in the league. The Las Vegas defense allows 31.6% on 3-point shots (318 of 1,007) and their opponents are connecting on 81.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 12.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.6% from the floor (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-8.5)

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