Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction, 9/26/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever

Date: Friday, September 26, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ESPN2

Gainbridge Fieldhouse is the site where and the Indiana Fever (24-20) will play the Las Vegas Aces (30-14) on Friday in Game 3 of the WNBA Semifinals. The series is tied 1-1. Vegas opens this game as 4.5 point favorites and the total opens at 162.5.

The Las Vegas Aces notched a win by a score of 90-68 in Game 2. Las Vegas ended having earned a 53.8% field goal percentage (35 of 65) and knocked down 5 of their 12 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Aces knocked down 15 of their 21 attempts for a rate of 71.4%. Regarding hauling in boards, they earned 30 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 22 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 18 turnovers and earning 12 steals. When talking about defending, Las Vegas let their opponent shoot 41.0% from the floor on 25 of 61 shooting. Indiana doled out 11 dimes and had 5 steals for this game. Additionally, Indiana grabbed 30 boards (11 offensive, 19 defensive) and earned 1 block. Indiana finished the game shooting 73.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 11 of their 15 tries. They converted 7 out of their 20 attempts from distance.

A'ja Wilson is one player who was a contributor in the matchup. She was able to score 25 points on 10 out of 18 shooting. She was on the court for 33 minutes and also pulled down 9 rebounds. Wilson finished the game shooting 55.6% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.

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Las Vegas heads into this matchup with a mark of 30-14 so far this year. They turn the ball over 11.9 times per contest and as a squad they commit 16.6 fouls per game. As a team, Las Vegas is collecting 33.5 boards per game and has accounted for 861 dimes for the year, which is 9th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Aces are hitting 35.1% on shots from 3-point land (400 of 1,138) and 82.4% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 83.6 pts per contest (6th in the league) while connecting on 43.9% from the field. On the defensive end of the court, the Aces are able to force 12.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.2 personal fouls. They rank 9th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 897 relinquished on the year. The Aces defense is giving up a FG percentage of 43.6% (551 of 758) and they surrender 35.0 boards per contest as a team. They are relinquishing 31.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 7th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (80.7).

In Game 2, the Fever were able to collect 30 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 in the matchup. They coughed it up 10 times, while recording 7 steals in this contest. The Aces earned 15 fouls for the contest which got the Fever to the free throw line for 15 attempts. They were able to make 11 of those for a rate of 73.3%. When talking about 3-point shots, Indiana buried 7 of their 20 attempts (35.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Fever finished the game shooting 25 out of 61 from the floor which had them at 41.0%. The Fever allowed the Aces to convert 35 of their 65 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.8% for the matchup. They finished 41.7% from distance by going 5 of 12 and finished the contest at 15 out of 21 at the free throw line (71.4%). In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Indiana allowed Las Vegas to pull down 33 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Odyssey Sims was important for the Fever in the game. She knocked down 7 out of 12 for the contest for a rate of 58.3%, but didn't pull down a rebound. Sims earned 18 points in her 32 mins on the hardwood and tallied 7 dimes for this game.

Indiana has a mark of 24-20 on the campaign. As an offense, the Fever are connecting on 45.6% from the field, which is 3rd in basketball. Indiana has tallied 3,734 pts for the year (84.9 per game) and they collect 33.4 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 20.6 times per contest (7th in basketball) and they are turning it over 12.8 times per game. The Fever are responsible for committing 18.6 personal fouls per contest and they hit 77.0% from the charity stripe. The Fever on the defensive end are ranked 8th in the league in points given up per game with 81.5. The Indiana defense allows 32.9% on three-point shots (314 of 955) and their opposition makes 78.6% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 19.4 dimes and 32.7 total boards per game, which has them ranked 4th and 4th in the WNBA. They are forcing their opponents into 14.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 44.9% from the floor (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-4.5)

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