Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 6/29/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

Footprint Center is the site where and the Phoenix Mercury (11-4) will play the Las Vegas Aces (7-8) on Sunday.

The Las Vegas Aces played the Washington Mystics and ended up losing by a score of 94-83 in their last contest. Las Vegas finished the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (33 of 66) and buried 6 out of their 23 shots from beyond the arc. When they shot from the free throw line, the Aces made 11 of their 12 attempts for a percentage of 91.7%. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they collected a total of 27 with 2 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 21 dimes in the matchup as well as forcing 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In reference to defense, Las Vegas let their opponent shoot 45.7% from the floor on 32 of 70 shooting. Washington doled out 9 dimes and had 4 steals in this game. Moreover, Washington totaled 34 rebounds (9 offensive, 25 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Washington finished shooting 80.0% at the charity stripe by making 20 of their 25 attempts. They also made 10 out of their 19 attempts from three-point range.

A'ja Wilson is one player who was a major contributor in this game. She ended up with 22 points on 8 out of 18 shooting. She saw the court for 32 mins and also grabbed 5 boards. Wilson finished 44.4% from the field and earned 2 assists.

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Las Vegas enters this game with a mark of 7-8 for the campaign. They have an average of 80.7 pts per contest (9th in the WNBA) while going 40.7% from the field. The Aces are shooting 34.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (137 of 397) and 84.5% from the free throw line. As a unit, Las Vegas is grabbing 33.3 boards per contest and has accounted for 255 assists so far this season, which is 11th in the league in terms of passing. They are turning it over 12.8 times per game and as a unit are committing 16.5 personal fouls per game. On defense, the Aces have forced 12.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.1 fouls. They concede 34.3% on 3-pointers while they are 9th in basketball in PPG allowed (82.1). The Aces defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.9% (192 of 272) and they surrender 35.8 boards per game as a team. They are 11th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 321 relinquished on the campaign.

When they last played, the Phoenix Mercury took home the win by a final score of 107-86 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Mercury were able to collect 22 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 for this contest. They also coughed up the ball 19 times, while earning 13 steals in the game. The Sky were called for 20 personal fouls in the game which took the Mercury to the charity stripe for a total of 24 attempts. They were able to bury 20 of the free throws for a clip of 83.3%. With respect to shots from downtown, Phoenix made 17 out of their 35 attempts (48.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Mercury walked away from this one shooting 35 for 68 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.5%. The Mercury permitted the Sky to make 30 out of 57 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.6% for the game. They wrapped up this game 34.8% from behind the 3-point line via 8 of 23 and finished the game at 18 out of 20 from the free throw line (90.0%). When talking about how they attacked the glass, Phoenix permitted Chicago to snag 22 overall (4 offensive).

Sami Whitcomb ended up being a major contributor for the Mercury for this game. She made 5 of 10 in the game giving her a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and accounted for 4 rebounds. Whitcomb earned 17 points in her 25 mins on the court and had 2 assists for the matchup.

Phoenix has a record of 11-4 so far this season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mercury are hitting on 42.8% from the floor, which is ranked 7th in the WNBA. Phoenix has accounted for 1,234 pts this year (82.3 per game) and they collect 33.8 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 20.2 times per contest (5th in basketball) and they are turning it over 13.4 times per game. The Mercury are committing 19.3 fouls per contest and they shoot 79.2% from the charity stripe. The Mercury defensively are ranked 4th in the league in points allowed per contest with 78.2. They are forcing 16.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.2% from the floor (5th in the league). The Phoenix defense surrenders 31.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (117 of 369) and their opponents are making 80.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 19.3 dimes and 34.3 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 7th and 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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