Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Prediction, 9/16/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm

Date: Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA

TV: ESPN

The Seattle Storm (23-21) play the Las Vegas Aces (30-14) at Climate Pledge Arena on Tuesday in Game 2 of their series. Las Vegas opens as 5.5 favorites. The total is set at 161.5.

The Las Vegas Aces earned the victory with a final of 102-77 in Game 1. Las Vegas ended the contest having earned a 50.7% FG percentage (36 out of 71) and converted 14 out of their 29 3-pointers. When they shot from the free throw line, the Aces buried 16 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 76.2%. When discussing rebounding, they earned 39 with 11 of them being offensive. They also recorded 23 assists in this matchup while forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and getting 10 steals. When talking about defense, Las Vegas allowed the other team to shoot 43.7% from the field on 31 of 71 shooting. Seattle distributed 8 dimes and had 4 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, Seattle totaled 34 boards (8 offensive, 26 defensive) and got 2 blocked shots. Seattle walked away from this one shooting 72.7% when shooting free throws by burying 8 of 11 tries. They knocked down 7 out of their 18 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Kierstan Bell is someone who was a factor in this matchup. She was able to score 5 points on 2 of 6 shooting. She played 15 minutes played and also collected 1 board. Bell ended up shooting 33.3% from the field but wasn't able to get a dime.

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Las Vegas comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 30-14 this season. They average 83.6 pts per game (6th in the WNBA) while connecting on 43.9% from the field. The Aces are hitting 35.1% on 3-point shots (400 of 1,138) and 82.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Las Vegas is collecting 33.5 boards per game and is sitting with 861 dimes on the year, which is 9th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.9 times per contest and as a squad they commit 16.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Aces are forcing 12.5 turnovers per game and they draw 17.2 fouls. The Aces defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 43.6% (551 of 758) and they surrender 35.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are 9th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 897 surrendered for the campaign. They surrender 31.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 7th in the WNBA in points per game from their opponents (80.7).

In Game 1, the Storm recorded 26 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 34 for the game. They gave up possession 12 times, while earning 4 steals in the matchup. The Aces earned 19 fouls in the matchup which got the Storm to the charity stripe for 11 attempts. They were able to make 8 of them for a percentage of 72.7%. In the matter of three-point attempts, Seattle knocked down 7 of their 18 tries (38.9%). In all, the Storm ended up shooting 31 for 71 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.7%. The Storm allowed the Aces to make 36 of 71 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 50.7% in this contest. They wrapped up this game 48.3% from three-point range by connecting on 14 out of 29 and ended up going 16 of 21 at the charity stripe (76.2%). With respect to team rebounding, Seattle permitted Las Vegas to snag 39 in all (11 offensive).

Lexie Brown ended up being a factor for the Storm for the matchup. She made 2 out of 3 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and added 1 rebound. Brown had 5 points in her 7 mins of playing time, but went home with no dimes.

Seattle has a win-loss mark of 23-21 for the year. Seattle has accumulated 3,614 points so far this season (82.1 per game) and they grab 30.9 boards per game. The Storm commit 17.1 fouls per game and they go 77.1% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Storm are shooting 45.0% from the field, which has them ranked 5th in basketball. They are earning an assist 21.3 times per contest (4th in the league) and they turn it over 11.6 times per game. The Storm are ranked 4th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 80.1. The Seattle defense concedes 33.6% on shots from behind the 3-point line (314 of 935) and their opposition makes 79.3% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 19.6 dimes and 36.0 total rebounds per game, which ranks 5th and 13th in the league. They are forcing 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 44.3% from the floor (7th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (+4.5)

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