Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 7/10/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics

Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Washington Mystics (8-10) host the Las Vegas Aces (9-9) at CareFirst Arena on Thursday.

The Las Vegas Aces faced off with the Connecticut Sun and went home with a win by a final score of 86-68 in their last game. Las Vegas wrapped up the contest with a 54.0% FG percentage (34 out of 63) and buried 9 of their 26 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Aces converted 9 of 13 tries for a percentage of 69.2%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 21 assists for the matchup while creating 14 turnovers and getting 9 steals. With respect to defense, Las Vegas allowed their opponent to shoot 38.1% from the floor on 24 of 63 shooting. Connecticut recorded 6 assists and had 9 steals for this game. Additionally, Connecticut collected 27 boards (6 offensive, 21 defensive) and got 2 blocks. Connecticut ended up shooting 78.9% at the charity stripe by burying 15 of 19 shots. They also made 5 of 18 tries from beyond the perimeter.

A'ja Wilson is someone who came through in the matchup. She accumulated 19 points on 8 out of 10 shooting. She saw the court for 24 minutes played and also pulled down 3 rebounds. Wilson finished the game at 80.0% from the floor but didn't record a dime.

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Las Vegas heads into this matchup with a record of 9-9 for the year. The Aces are connecting on 34.1% on shots from 3-point land (158 of 463) and 84.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 79.7 points per outing (9th in basketball) while connecting on 40.8% from the floor. They turn the ball over 13.1 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.8 fouls per game. As a unit, Las Vegas is pulling in 33.2 rebounds per game and has earned 308 assists this year, which is 12th in the league in terms of passing the rock. On defense, the Aces are forcing 12.7 turnovers per game while drawing 17.9 fouls. The Aces defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.4% (229 of 323) and they surrender 35.3 rebounds per contest as a team. They currently rank 10th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 378 surrendered this year. They are surrendering 34.3% from 3-point land and they rank 9th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (81.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Washington Mystics went home defeated by a final of 92-75 against the Minnesota Lynx. The Mystics corralled 30 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 35 in this contest. They turned it over 20 times, while getting 2 steals in the game. The Lynx earned 18 fouls for the contest which took the Mystics to the charity stripe for a total of 23 tries. They were able to make 18 of those for a rate of 78.3%. With respect to 3-point attempts, Washington made 3 of their 20 tries (15.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Mystics finished shooting 27 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.0%. The Mystics permitted the Lynx to convert 37 of their 80 tries from the field which left them shooting 46.3% for the matchup. They wrapped up this game 34.6% from beyond the arc by going 9 out of 26 and ended up going 9 of 9 at the free throw line (100.0%). With respect to cleaning up the glass, Washington permitted Minnesota to grab 30 in total (7 on the offensive side).

Lucy Olsen ended up being a factor for the Mystics in the matchup. She converted 7 of 10 in the matchup for a rate of 70.0%, and accumulated 1 rebound. Olsen had 19 points in her 17 minutes on the hardwood and earned 3 assists for the contest.

Washington has a win-loss mark of 8-10 this season. The Mystics are responsible for committing 20.1 fouls per game while shooting 74.9% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 17.9 times per game (11th in the league) and they cough up possession 14.7 times per game. Washington has totaled 1,421 points this year (78.9 per game) and they pull in 35.4 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Mystics are hitting on 43.0% from the floor, which ranks 7th in the league. The Mystics on defense are ranked 8th in basketball in points given up per game with 80.7. They are forcing 12.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.2% from the floor (4th in the league). The Washington defense allows 30.4% on shots from 3-point land (143 of 470) and their opponents are making 80.4% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 18.8 dimes and 32.9 total boards per game, which is ranked 4th and 3rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington

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