Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 9/9/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Phoenix Mercury (27-15) play the Los Angeles Sparks (20-22) at Footprint Center on Tuesday.

The Los Angeles Sparks faced the Dallas Wings and notched a win by a score of 91-77 in their last game. Los Angeles wrapped up the contest with a 40.5% field goal percentage (34 out of 84) and converted 10 out of their 33 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Sparks buried 13 of 20 shots for a percentage of 65.0%. In relation to getting rebounds, they earned 41 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 23 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and getting 11 steals. Concerning defending, Los Angeles allowed the other team to go 38.9% from the floor on 28 out of 72 shooting. Dallas distributed 10 dimes and had 4 steals in the game. Moreover, Dallas snagged 46 rebounds (10 offensive, 36 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. Dallas finished the game at 94.1% from the charity stripe by making 16 of their 17 tries. They buried 5 of their 23 attempts from distance.

Julie Allemand is a player who was a factor in the matchup. She finished with 21 points on 8 of 8 shooting. She was on the court for 35 mins and also totaled 1 rebound. Allemand finished shooting 100.0% from the floor and dished out 4 dimes.

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Los Angeles comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 20-22 this season. The Sparks are connecting on 34.3% on 3-pointers (367 of 1,070) and 76.6% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 85.9 points per contest (2nd in the league) while going 45.9% from the field. They turn it over 14.3 times per game and as a squad they are committing 17.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Los Angeles is grabbing 33.3 boards per game and has accounted for 868 assists this year, which ranks 7th in the league in terms of passing the rock. When they are on defense, the Sparks have forced 12.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.5 personal fouls. They are surrendering 36.2% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 12th in the league in points per game from their opponents (88.0). The Sparks are allowing a shooting percentage of 45.3% (531 of 778) and they concede 33.8 rebounds per contest as a team. They are 12th in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 939 conceded this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a final score of 87-84 when they faced the Connecticut Sun. The Mercury snagged 24 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 in this contest. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 7 steals for the contest. The Sun were called for 21 fouls for the contest which took the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to knock down 15 of those for a rate of 71.4%. With respect to 3-point shots, Phoenix knocked down 11 of their 32 attempts (34.4%). Overall, the Mercury finished 29 for 71 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.8%. The Mercury allowed the Sun to bury 28 of their 63 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 44.4% in the game. They went 31.3% from 3-point land by going 5 of 16 and finished the game at 26 out of 34 at the charity stripe (76.5%). Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Phoenix allowed Connecticut to collect 39 in all (6 offensive).

Kahleah Copper was important for the Mercury in this contest. She buried 5 out of 14 for this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 35.7%, but wasn't able to snag a board. Copper scored 18 points in her 30 mins on the hardwood and had 2 assists in the matchup.

Phoenix has a mark of 27-15 this year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mercury are connecting on 43.4% from the field, which is 9th in basketball. Phoenix has totaled 3,484 points for the season (83.0 per game) and they pull in 34.7 boards per game. They are earning an assist 21.0 times per contest (5th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest. The Mercury are responsible for committing 17.8 fouls per game and they hit 78.6% from the free throw line. The Mercury on the defensive side of the court are 4th in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 79.5. They are forcing their opponents into 14.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 42.5% from the field (4th in the league). The Phoenix defense gives up 32.3% on 3-point shots (330 of 1,023) and their opponents are connecting on 80.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 19.6 assists and 35.2 boards on a nightly basis, which is 5th and 9th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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