Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 7/9/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Minnesota Lynx (17-2) are headed to Footprint Center on Wednesday where they'll meet the Phoenix Mercury (13-6).

The Minnesota Lynx faced off with the Chicago Sky and went home with a win by a final score of 80-75 in their last game. Minnesota ended the contest with a 41.7% field goal percentage (30 out of 72) and converted 6 of their 25 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Lynx buried 14 of their 17 tries for a percentage of 82.4%. When it comes to getting rebounds, they collected 37 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 21 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When discussing defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to go 37.2% from the floor on 29 of 78 shooting. Chicago doled out 14 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. On top of that, Chicago totaled 45 boards (14 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 2 rejections. Chicago finished the game at 87.5% when shooting free throws by burying 7 of 8 tries. They converted 10 of their 23 attempts from long range.

Courtney Williams is one player who was a major contributor for the game. She finished with 25 points on 10 of 17 shooting. She played 31 mins and also pulled down 8 rebounds. Williams ended up shooting 58.8% from the field and earned 6 dimes.

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Minnesota enters this contest with a mark of 17-2 on the campaign. They average 85.2 points per outing (2nd in the league) while hitting 46.3% from the floor. The Lynx are shooting 35.6% on shots from beyond the arc (176 of 494) and 79.9% from the free throw line. As a team, Minnesota is grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 452 assists this year, which is 1st in basketball in terms of passing. They are turning it over 12.6 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 17.6 fouls per game. When they are on defense, the Lynx are able to force 14.2 turnovers per game and they draw 17.7 fouls. They surrender 29.5% from beyond the arc while they are 1st in the WNBA in points per game allowed (74.1). The Lynx defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 40.2% (270 of 336) and they relinquish 34.4 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 2nd in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 337 surrendered this year.

The last time they took the court, the Phoenix Mercury got the victory with a final of 102-72 when they faced the Dallas Wings. The Mercury snagged 32 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 43 in this game. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Wings committed 16 personal fouls in this contest which got the Mercury to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They were able to convert 16 of them for a rate of 64.0%. When it comes to 3-point attempts, Phoenix knocked down 14 out of 32 tries (43.8%). When the game finished, the Mercury ended up shooting 36 for 76 from the field which gave them a rate of 47.4%. The Mercury permitted the Wings to convert 27 of 75 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 36.0% for the game. They shot 33.3% from distance by connecting on 8 of 24 and finished the contest at 10 out of 12 from the charity stripe (83.3%). When it comes to rebounding, Phoenix allowed Dallas to collect 44 in all (13 offensive).

Sami Whitcomb ended up being important for the Mercury in the matchup. She made 12 of 19 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 63.2%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Whitcomb totaled 36 points in her 27 minutes on the hardwood and earned 1 assist for the matchup.

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 13-6 this season. Phoenix has accumulated 1,612 points so far this year (84.8 per contest) and they grab 34.1 rebounds per contest. The Mercury have committed 19.3 fouls per game and they hit 78.5% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Mercury are connecting on 43.3% from the floor, which ranks them 6th in the WNBA. They are assisting teammates 21.2 times per game (3rd in basketball) and they turn it over 12.8 times per game. The Mercury on the defensive end are ranked 7th in the WNBA in PPG surrendered with 79.9. They have surrendered 19.3 assists and 34.8 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 7th and 9th in the WNBA. The Phoenix defense allows 32.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (148 of 457) and opponents are connecting on 81.3% of their foul shots. They are able to force 16.2 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.7% from the field (6th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota

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