Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 8/1/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Friday, August 1, 2025

Location: Gateway Center Arena in College Park, GA

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Atlanta Dream (16-11) play the Phoenix Mercury (16-10) at Gateway Center Arena on Friday.

The Phoenix Mercury played the Indiana Fever and took a loss by a score of 107-101 in their last game. Phoenix ended having earned a 49.3% FG percentage (36 out of 73) and made 7 out of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Mercury converted 22 of 26 tries for a rate of 84.6%. In the matter of rebounding, they earned 31 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 18 assists for this game as well as forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and earning 9 steals. With respect to defending, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 51.6% from the field on 32 of 62 shooting. Indiana recorded 6 assists and had 8 steals for this game. Additionally, Indiana grabbed 33 boards (6 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 2 rejections. Indiana finished the contest at 84.2% when shooting free throws by burying 32 of 38 tries. They buried 11 of 24 tries from 3-point range.

Alyssa Thomas is someone who was a contributor for this game. She ended up walking away with 32 points on 14 of 22 shooting. She saw the court for 34 minutes and also totaled 15 rebounds. Thomas finished shooting 63.6% from the floor and also dished out 7 assists.

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Phoenix enters this matchup with a mark of 16-10 for the campaign. They currently have an average of 83.8 points per outing (5th in basketball) while hitting 43.5% from the floor. The Mercury are shooting 33.8% on shots from 3-point land (249 of 737) and 77.7% from the free throw line. As a team, Phoenix is pulling down 34.0 boards per game and has racked up 543 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 7th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 12.7 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.1 fouls per game. When they are on defense, the Mercury have forced 15.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.3 fouls. They are ranked 6th in the WNBA in giving up assists with 514 relinquished so far this year. The Mercury defense is allowing a FG percentage of 42.7% (403 of 449) and they surrender 35.2 boards per contest as a unit. They are relinquishing 33.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 6th in basketball in points per game allowed (80.9).

In their last game, the Atlanta Dream took home the win by a final score of 88-85 against the Dallas Wings. The Dream snagged 26 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this contest. They turned it over 12 times, while getting 5 steals for this game. The Wings earned 12 personal fouls in the game which got the Dream to the free throw line for a total of 13 attempts. They were able to knock down 11 of the free throws for a rate of 84.6%. In reference to 3-point shots, Atlanta made 11 out of 26 tries (42.3%). In all, the Dream ended up shooting 33 for 63 from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.4%. The Dream allowed the Wings to bury 34 out of their 68 attempts from the field which had them shooting 50.0% in this game. They shot 50.0% from three-point range by connecting on 11 out of 22 and finished the contest at 6 of 8 at the free throw line (75.0%). When discussing rebounds, Atlanta allowed Dallas to grab 24 overall (5 on the offensive side).

Naz Hillmon pitched in for the Dream for this contest. She converted 7 out of 9 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 77.8%, and had 1 rebound. Hillmon scored 21 points in her 30 minutes on the court and accumulated 3 dimes for the contest.

Atlanta has a record of 16-11 for the campaign. The Dream are committing 16.6 fouls per game and they connect on 76.3% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 21.0 times per game (4th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 11.9 times per game. Atlanta has scored 2,258 pts on the season (83.6 per contest) and they grab 36.3 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Dream are connecting on 43.5% from the floor, which is ranked 7th in the league. The Dream on defense are ranked 4th in the league in PPG given up with 79.1. They are forcing 11.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the floor (8th in the WNBA). The Atlanta defense surrenders 34.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (195 of 570) and opponents are converting on 77.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 19.2 dimes and 32.2 total boards per game, which has them ranked 6th and 1st in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta

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