Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 9/6/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: WNBA League Pass

Mohegan Sun Arena is the venue where and the Connecticut Sun (10-31) will play the Phoenix Mercury (26-14) on Saturday.

The Phoenix Mercury faced off with the Indiana Fever and notched a win by a score of 85-79 in their last contest. Phoenix finished the game having earned a 45.5% FG percentage (30 out of 66) and buried 6 of their 21 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mercury converted 19 of 23 attempts for a rate of 82.6%. With respect to getting rebounds, they earned a total of 36 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 24 assists for this contest in addition to creating 12 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In regard to defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 42.7% from the floor on 32 out of 75 shooting. Indiana recorded 12 dimes and had 5 steals in this game. Additionally, Indiana grabbed 40 boards (12 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Indiana ended up shooting 75.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 6 of their 8 shots. They knocked down 9 out of their 25 attempts from 3-point range.

Alyssa Thomas is a player who was a contributor for this game. She walked away with 23 points on 9 of 17 shooting. She played 34 minutes and also grabbed 9 boards. Thomas finished the game shooting 52.9% from the floor and also dished out 9 assists.

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Phoenix enters this game with a win-loss record of 26-14 so far this year. They currently have an average of 83.1 points per game (6th in basketball) while shooting 43.5% from the field. The Mercury are hitting 33.7% on shots from beyond the arc (368 of 1,093) and 79.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Phoenix is grabbing 34.7 boards per game and is sitting with 838 assists this season, which is 6th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 12.5 times per contest and as a squad are committing 17.7 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Mercury have forced 14.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.7 personal fouls. They give up 32.4% from 3-point land and they are 4th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (79.6). The Mercury defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.6% (569 of 666) and they concede 35.0 boards per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 4th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 786 relinquished for the campaign.

In their last game, the Connecticut Sun took a defeat with a final score of 88-64 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Sun collected 20 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards totaling 32 for this contest. They also coughed up the ball 16 times, while recording 5 steals in this game. The Sky earned 17 fouls for the matchup which took the Sun to the charity stripe for 12 attempts. They were able to knock down 9 of those for a percentage of 75.0%. Concerning 3-point attempts, Connecticut knocked down 5 of 16 tries (31.3%). When the game finished, the Sun shot 25 out of 65 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.5%. The Sun permitted the Sky to make 31 of 65 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.7% for the matchup. They shot 46.7% from distance by going 7 of 15 and ended up shooting 19 out of 24 from the free throw line (79.2%). When discussing team rebounding, Connecticut permitted Chicago to grab 33 overall (14 on the offensive glass).

Tina Charles was important for the Sun for this game. She knocked down 8 of 13 for this contest giving her a rate of 61.5%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. Charles tallied 19 points in her 24 mins on the hardwood, but went home with no dimes.

Connecticut has a win-loss record of 10-31 on the season. The Sun commit 20.0 fouls per contest and they go 79.6% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 17.6 times per contest (13th in the WNBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.1 times per game. Connecticut has accumulated 3,116 points for the season (76.0 per game) and they pull down 31.6 boards per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Sun are shooting 41.4% from the field, which is ranked 12th in the WNBA. The Sun on defense are ranked 11th in the league in points allowed per game with 85.9. The Connecticut defense gives up 35.0% on shots from 3-point land (341 of 975) and their opposition makes 78.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 21.6 dimes and 35.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 11th and 11th in basketball. They have forced 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.5% from the field (13th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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