Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 8/21/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Thursday, August 21, 2025

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (21-13) go to Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Las Vegas Aces (22-14).

The Phoenix Mercury faced the Golden State Valkyries and notched a win by a score of 98-91 in their last contest. Phoenix finished the game having earned a 49.3% field goal percentage (34 out of 69) and converted 11 of their 31 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mercury converted 19 of their 23 tries for a percentage of 82.6%. In reference to pulling down boards, they earned 40 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 22 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 3 turnovers and having 1 steal. In relation to the defense, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 41.6% from the floor on 32 of 77 shooting. Golden State totaled 9 assists and had 9 steals for the matchup. In addition, Golden State grabbed 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 1 block. Golden State shot 88.2% at the free throw line by making 15 of their 17 attempts. They made 12 out of their 35 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

Kahleah Copper is one player who was a contributor in the game. She walked away with 25 points on 9 out of 20 shooting. She played 32 mins and also collected 5 boards. Copper shot 45.0% from the field and also totaled 1 assist.

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Phoenix comes into this contest with a record of 21-13 this year. The Mercury are hitting 33.5% on shots from 3-point land (313 of 934) and 79.0% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 83.6 pts per game (5th in the league) while going 43.6% from the floor. They are giving up possession 12.6 times per game and as a group are committing 18.4 fouls per contest. As a unit, Phoenix is collecting 34.6 boards per contest and has totaled 706 dimes on the season, which is 8th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. On defense, the Mercury are able to force 14.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.0 fouls. The Mercury defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 42.4% (495 of 577) and they relinquish 35.2 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 4th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 668 conceded this season. They are surrendering 32.3% from 3-point land and they rank 4th in basketball in points per game from their opponents (80.1).

For their last game, the Las Vegas Aces took home the win by a final score of 74-72 against the Atlanta Dream. The Aces were able to pull down 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 32 in this contest. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while recording 6 steals for the matchup. The Dream were called for 14 personal fouls in this contest which took the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 11 attempts. They were able to bury 9 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 81.8%. When talking about shots from distance, Las Vegas converted 7 of 20 tries (35.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Aces finished the game shooting 29 out of 64 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.3%. The Aces permitted the Dream to make 26 out of their 65 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.0% for this game. They finished 27.6% from beyond the arc by shooting 8 of 29 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 14 from the charity stripe (85.7%). In the matter of cleaning the glass, Las Vegas allowed Atlanta to grab 29 in total (9 offensive).

A'ja Wilson ended up being a factor for the Aces for the contest. She converted 12 of 24 for this game giving her a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and added 12 rebounds. Wilson earned 32 points in her 37 mins of playing time and had 4 dimes for the contest.

Las Vegas has a mark of 22-14 so far this season. Las Vegas has totaled 2,974 pts on the year (82.6 per contest) and they pull in 33.9 rebounds per game. The Aces have committed 17.3 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 82.2% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Aces are connecting on 42.6% from the floor, which ranks them 9th in basketball. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 18.4 times per game (11th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 12.6 times per contest. The Aces defensively are ranked 9th in the league in points given up per game with 82.6. They are able to force 12.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 44.3% from the floor (9th in the WNBA). The Las Vegas defense gives up 33.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (276 of 829) and opponents are knocking down 81.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 20.7 assists and 34.8 rebounds per game, which ranks them 9th and 9th in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Las Vegas

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