Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, 8/26/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks

Date: Tuesday, August 26, 2025

Location: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Phoenix Mercury (22-14) are headed to Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Los Angeles Sparks (17-18).

The Phoenix Mercury faced the Golden State Valkyries and walked away with a win by a score of 81-72 in their last contest. Phoenix walked away from the game with a 43.8% field goal percentage (28 of 64) and knocked down 14 of their 32 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Mercury made 11 of 15 tries for a rate of 73.3%. When talking about hauling in boards, they earned 33 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 25 assists in the game as well as forcing the other team into 6 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When it comes to defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to shoot 37.3% from the floor on 25 of 67 shooting. Golden State recorded 6 assists and had 7 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Golden State snagged 31 rebounds (6 offensive, 25 defensive) and had 5 blocks. Golden State finished shooting 73.7% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of 19 attempts. They buried 8 out of their 31 attempts from distance.

Monique Akoa Makani is one player who was a major contributor in the matchup. She notched 18 points on 6 out of 9 shooting. She played for 28 minutes played and also collected 1 rebound. Akoa-Makani finished shooting 66.7% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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Phoenix enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 22-14 on the year. They lose possession via turnover 12.7 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 18.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is collecting 34.8 boards per contest and has accumulated 743 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 7th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Mercury are shooting 33.4% on shots from beyond the arc (333 of 998) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 82.9 points per contest (6th in the WNBA) on 43.2% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Mercury are forcing their opponents into 14.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.7 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 3rd in basketball in allowing assists with 706 surrendered on the year. The Mercury defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 42.3% (505 of 600) and they surrender 35.1 boards per contest as a group. They are giving up 32.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 5th in the league in PPG allowed (80.0).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Los Angeles Sparks went home victorious with a score of 81-80 when they faced the Dallas Wings. The Sparks were able to pull down 28 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 39 in the game. They also turned it over 14 times, while getting 5 steals in this contest. The Wings committed 17 personal fouls in this contest which took the Sparks to the free throw line for a total of 8 shots. They were able to bury 5 of the free throws for a clip of 62.5%. In relation to shots from 3-point land, Los Angeles knocked down 10 of their 26 tries (38.5%). Overall, the Sparks finished 33 out of 74 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.6%. The Sparks allowed the Wings to knock down 29 of 60 tries from the field which had them sitting at 48.3% for the matchup. They went 57.9% from beyond the arc by connecting on 11 of 19 and walked away from this one shooting 11 out of 14 at the free throw line (78.6%). Concerning rebounding, Los Angeles permitted Dallas to snag 32 in total (2 offensive).

Rickea Jackson was important for the Sparks in the matchup. She made 9 out of 15 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and had 5 rebounds. Rickea Jackson racked up 25 points in her 33 minutes on the court, but went home with no dimes.

Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 17-18 so far this year. The Sparks commit 17.6 fouls per contest while shooting 76.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 20.9 times per game (4th in basketball) and they are turning it over 14.4 times per contest. Los Angeles has totaled 3,024 points for the season (86.4 per contest) and they average 33.1 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Sparks are connecting on 46.1% from the field, which has them ranked 2nd in the league. The Sparks on the defensive side of the court are 13th in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 88.5. They have allowed 22.1 dimes and 33.0 rebounds per game, which is 12th and 3rd in the league. The Los Angeles defense allows 35.9% on 3-point shots (340 of 948) and their opponents are knocking down 83.1% of their foul shots. They are able to force 12.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.8% from the field (12th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles

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